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Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Stephen S Lim, Kate Allen, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Lalit Dandona, Mohammad H Forouzanfar, Nancy Fullman, Peter W Gething, Ellen M Goldberg, Simon I Hay, Mollie Holmberg, Yohannes Kinfu, Michael J Kutz, Heidi J Larson, Xiaofeng Liang, Alan D Lopez, Rafael Lozano, Claire R McNellan, Ali H Mokdad, Meghan D Mooney, Mohsen Naghavi, Helen E Olsen, David M Pigott, Joshua A Salomon, Theo Vos, Haidong Wang, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Cristiana Abbafati, Kaja M Abbas, Foad Abd-Allah, Abdishakur M Abdulle, Biju Abraham, Ibrahim Abubakar, Laith J Abu-Raddad, Niveen M E Abu-Rmeileh, Gebre Yitayih Abyu, Tom Achoki, Akindele Olupelumi Adebiyi, Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji, Kossivi Agbelenko Afanvi, Ashkan Afshin, Arnav Agarwal, Anurag Agrawal, Aliasghar Ahmad Kiadaliri, Hamid Ahmadieh, Kedir Yimam Ahmed, Ali Shafqat Akanda, Rufus Olusola Akinyemi, Tomi F Akinyemiju, Nadia Akseer, Ziyad Al-Aly, Khurshid Alam, Uzma Alam, Deena Alasfoor, Fadia S AlBuhairan, Saleh Fahed Aldhahri, Robert William Aldridge, Zewdie Aderaw Alemu, Raghib Ali, Ala'a Alkerwi, Mohammad AB Alkhateeb, François Alla, Peter Allebeck, Christine Allen, Rajaa Al-Raddadi, Ubai Alsharif, Khalid A Altirkawi, Elena Alvarez Martin, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Azmeraw T Amare, Alemayehu Amberbir, Adeladza Kofi Amegah, Heresh Amini, Walid Ammar, Stephen Marc Amrock, Hjalte H Andersen, Benjamin O Anderson, Gregory M Anderson, Carl Abelardo T Antonio, Palwasha Anwari, Johan Ärnlöv, Al Artaman, Hamid Asayesh, Rana Jawad Asghar, Suleman Atique, Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho, Ashish Awasthi, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Peter Azzopardi, Umar Bacha, Alaa Badawi, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Amitava Banerjee, Aleksandra Barac, Ryan Barber, Suzanne L Barker-Collo, Till Bärnighausen, Lope H Barrero, Tonatiuh Barrientos-Gutierrez, Sanjay Basu, Tigist Assefa Bayou, Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi, Justin Beardsley, Neeraj Bedi, Ettore Beghi, Yannick Béjot, Michelle L Bell, Aminu K Bello, Derrick A Bennett, Isabela M Bensenor, Habib Benzian, Adugnaw Berhane, Eduardo Bernabé, Oscar Alberto Bernal, Balem Demtsu Betsu, Addisu Shunu Beyene, Neeraj Bhala, Samir Bhatt, Sibhatu Biadgilign, Kelly A Bienhoff, Boris Bikbov, Agnes Binagwaho, Donal Bisanzio, Espen Bjertness, Jed Blore, Rupert R A Bourne, Michael Brainin, Michael Brauer, Alexandra Brazinova, Nicholas J K Breitborde, David M Broday, Traolach S Brugha, Rachelle Buchbinder, Zahid A Butt, Leah E Cahill, Ismael Ricardo Campos-Nonato, Julio Cesar Campuzano, Hélène Carabin, Rosario Cárdenas, Juan Jesus Carrero, Austin Carter, Daniel Casey, Valeria Caso, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Jacqueline Castillo Rivas, Ferrán Catalá-López, Fiorella Cavalleri, Pedro Cecílio, Hsing-Yi Chang, Jung-Chen Chang, Fiona J Charlson, Xuan Che, Alan Zian Chen, Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang, Mirriam Chibalabala, Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Rajiv Chowdhury, Hanne Christensen, Liliana G Ciobanu, Massimo Cirillo, Matthew M Coates, Megan Coggeshall, Aaron J Cohen, Graham S Cooke, Cyrus Cooper, Leslie Trumbull Cooper, Benjamin C Cowie, John A Crump, Solomon Abrha Damtew, Rakhi Dandona, Paul I Dargan, José das Neves, Adrian C Davis, Kairat Davletov, E Filipa de Castro, Diego De Leo, Louisa Degenhardt, Liana C Del Gobbo, Kebede Deribe, Sarah Derrett, Don C Des Jarlais, Aniruddha Deshpande, Gabrielle A deVeber, Subhojit Dey, Samath D Dharmaratne, Preet K Dhillon, Eric L Ding, E Ray Dorsey, Kerrie E Doyle, Tim R Driscoll, Leilei Duan, Manisha Dubey, Bruce Bartholow Duncan, Hedyeh Ebrahimi, Aman Yesuf Endries, Sergey Petrovich Ermakov, Holly E Erskine, Babak Eshrati, Alireza Esteghamati, Saman Fahimi, Talha A Farid, Carla Sofia e Sa Farinha, André Faro, Maryam S Farvid, Farshad Farzadfar, Valery L Feigin, Manuela Mendonca Felicio, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Jefferson G Fernandes, Joao C Fernandes, Alize J Ferrari, Florian Fischer, Joseph R A Fitchett, Christina Fitzmaurice, Nataliya Foigt, Kyle Foreman, F Gerry R Fowkes, Elisabeth Barboza Franca, Richard C Franklin, Maya Fraser, Joseph Friedman, Joseph Frostad, Thomas Fürst, Belinda Gabbe Orcid Logo, Alberto L Garcia-Basteiro, Teshome Gebre, Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot, Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin, Alemseged Aregay Gebru, Bradford D Gessner, Richard F Gillum, Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed Ginawi, Ababi Zergaw Giref, Maurice Giroud, Melkamu Dedefo Gishu, Giorgia Giussani, William Godwin, Philimon Gona, Amador Goodridge, Sameer Vali Gopalani, Carolyn C Gotay, Atsushi Goto, Hebe N Gouda, Nicholas Graetz, Karen Fern Greenwell, Max Griswold, Harish Gugnani, Yuming Guo, Rahul Gupta, Rajeev Gupta, Vipin Gupta, Reyna A Gutiérrez, Bishal Gyawali, Juanita A Haagsma, Annie Haakenstad, Nima Hafezi-Nejad, Demewoz Haile, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Yara A Halasa, Randah Ribhi Hamadeh, Samer Hamidi, Mouhanad Hammami, Graeme J Hankey, Hilda L Harb, Josep Maria Haro, Mohammad Sadegh Hassanvand, Rasmus Havmoeller, Ileana Beatriz Heredia-Pi, Hans W Hoek, Masako Horino, Nobuyuki Horita, H Dean Hosgood, Damian G Hoy, Aung Soe Htet, Guoqing Hu, Hsiang Huang, Kim Moesgaard Iburg, Bulat T Idrisov, Manami Inoue, Farhad Islami, Troy A Jacobs, Kathryn H Jacobsen, Nader Jahanmehr, Mihajlo B Jakovljevic, Peter James, Henrica A F M Jansen, Mehdi Javanbakht, Sudha P Jayaraman, Achala Upendra Jayatilleke, Sun Ha Jee, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Vivekanand Jha, Ying Jiang, Tariku Jibat, Ye Jin, Jost B Jonas, Zubair Kabir, Yogeshwar Kalkonde, Ritul Kamal, Haidong Kan, Amit Kandel, André Karch, Corine Kakizi Karema, Chante Karimkhani, Palitha Karunapema, Amir Kasaeian, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Anil Kaul, Norito Kawakami, Jeanne Françoise Kayibanda, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Laura Kemmer, Andrew Kemp Orcid Logo, Andre Pascal Kengne, Andre Keren, Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran, Yousef Saleh Khader, Abdur Rahman Khan, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Gulfaraz Khan, Young-Ho Khang, Tawfik Ahmed Muthafer Khoja, Ardeshir Khosravi, Jagdish Khubchandani, Christian Kieling, Cho-il Kim, Daniel Kim, Sungroul Kim, Yun Jin Kim, Ruth W Kimokoti, Niranjan Kissoon, Miia Kivipelto, Luke D Knibbs, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Dhaval Kolte, Soewarta Kosen, Georgios A Kotsakis, Parvaiz A Koul, Ai Koyanagi, Michael Kravchenko, Hans Krueger, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Ricardo S Kuchenbecker, Ernst J Kuipers, Xie Rachel Kulikoff, Veena S Kulkarni, G Anil Kumar, Gene F Kwan, Hmwe H Kyu, Aparna Lal, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Ratilal Lalloo, Hilton Lam, Qing Lan, Sinead M Langan, Anders Larsson, Dennis Odai Laryea, Asma Abdul Latif, Janet L Leasher, James Leigh, Mall Leinsalu, Janni Leung, Ricky Leung, Miriam Levi, Yichong Li, Yongmei Li, Margaret Lind, Shai Linn, Steven E Lipshultz, Patrick Y Liu, Shiwei Liu, Yang Liu, Belinda K Lloyd, Loon-Tzian Lo, Giancarlo Logroscino, Paulo A Lotufo, Robyn M Lucas, Raimundas Lunevicius, Mohammed Magdy Abd El Razek, Carlos Magis-Rodriguez, Mahdi Mahdavi, Marek Majdan, Azeem Majeed, Reza Malekzadeh, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Chabila C Mapoma, David Joel Margolis, Randall V Martin, Jose Martinez-Raga, Felix Masiye, Amanda J Mason-Jones, João Massano, Richard Matzopoulos, Bongani M Mayosi, John J McGrath, Martin McKee, Peter A Meaney, Alem Mehari, Alemayehu B Mekonnen, Yohannes Adama Melaku, Peter Memiah, Ziad A Memish, Walter Mendoza, Gert B M Mensink, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J Meretoja, Yonatan Moges Mesfin, Francis Apolinary Mhimbira, Renata Micha, Ted R Miller, Edward J Mills, Mojde Mirarefin, Awoke Misganaw, Philip B Mitchell, Charles N Mock, Alireza Mohammadi, Shafiu Mohammed, Lorenzo Monasta, Jonathan de la Cruz Monis, Julio Cesar Montañez Hernandez, Marcella Montico, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Lidia Morawska, Rintaro Mori, Ulrich O Mueller, Michele E Murdoch, Brighton Murimira, Joseph Murray, Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana Murthy, Srinivas Murthy, Kamarul Imran Musa, Jean B Nachega, Gabriele Nagel, Kovin S Naidoo, Luigi Naldi, Vinay Nangia, Bruce Neal, Chakib Nejjari, Charles R Newton, John N Newton, Frida Namnyak Ngalesoni, Peter Nguhiu, Grant Nguyen, Quyen Le Nguyen, Muhammad Imran Nisar, Patrick Martial Nkamedjie Pete, Sandra Nolte, Marika Nomura, Ole F Norheim, Bo Norrving, Carla Makhlouf Obermeyer, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, In-Hwan Oh, Olanrewaju Oladimeji, Pedro R Olivares, Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, John Nelson Opio, Eyal Oren, Alberto Ortiz, Richard H Osborne, Erika Ota, Mayowa O Owolabi, Mahesh PA, Eun-Kee Park, Hye-Youn Park, Charles D Parry, Mahboubeh Parsaeian, Tejas Patel, Vikram Patel, Angel J Paternina Caicedo, Snehal T Patil, Scott B Patten, George C Patton, Deepak Paudel, João Mário Pedro, David M Pereira, Norberto Perico, Konrad Pesudovs, Max Petzold, Michael Robert Phillips, Frédéric B Piel, Julian David Pillay, Christine Pinho, Farhad Pishgar, Suzanne Polinder, Richie G Poulton, Farshad Pourmalek, Mostafa Qorbani, Rynaz H S Rabiee, Amir Radfar, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Mahfuzar Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Sajjad Ur Rahman, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Sasa Rajsic, Murugesan Raju, Usha Ram, Saleem M Rana, Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, Kavitha Ranganathan, Puja C Rao, Amany H Refaat, Marissa B Reitsma, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Serge Resnikoff, Antonio L Ribeiro, Maria Jesus Rios Blancas, Hirbo Shore Roba, Bayard Roberts, Alina Rodriguez, David Rojas-Rueda, Luca Ronfani, Gholamreza Roshandel, Gregory A Roth, Dietrich Rothenbacher, Ambuj Roy, Nobhojit Roy, Ben Benasco Sackey, Rajesh Sagar, Muhammad Muhammad Saleh, Juan R Sanabria, João Vasco Santos, Damian F Santomauro, Itamar S Santos, Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suarez, Benn Sartorius, Maheswar Satpathy, Miloje Savic, Monika Sawhney, Susan M Sawyer, Josef Schmidhuber, Maria Inês Schmidt, Ione J C Schneider, Aletta E Schutte, David C Schwebel, Soraya Seedat, Sadaf G Sepanlou, Edson E Servan-Mori, Katya Shackelford, Amira Shaheen, Masood Ali Shaikh, Teresa Shamah Levy, Rajesh Sharma, Jun She, Sara Sheikhbahaei, Jiabin Shen, Kevin N Sheth, Muki Shey, Peilin Shi, Kenji Shibuya, Mika Shigematsu, Min-Jeong Shin, Rahman Shiri, Kawkab Shishani, Ivy Shiue, Inga Dora Sigfusdottir, Naris Silpakit, Diego Augusto Santos Silva, Jonathan I Silverberg, Edgar P Simard, Shireen Sindi, Abhishek Singh, Gitanjali M Singh, Jasvinder A Singh, Om Prakash Singh, Prashant Kumar Singh, Vegard Skirbekk, Amber Sligar, Samir Soneji, Kjetil Søreide, Reed J D Sorensen, Joan B Soriano, Sergey Soshnikov, Luciano A Sposato, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Hans-Christian Stahl, Jeffrey D Stanaway, Vasiliki Stathopoulou, Nadine Steckling, Nicholas Steel, Dan J Stein, Caitlyn Steiner, Heidi Stöckl, Saverio Stranges, Mark Strong, Jiandong Sun, Bruno F Sunguya, Patrick Sur, Soumya Swaminathan, Bryan L Sykes, Cassandra E I Szoeke, Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos, Karen M Tabb, Roberto Tchio Talongwa, Mohammed Rasoul Tarawneh, Mohammad Tavakkoli, Bineyam Taye, Hugh R Taylor, Bemnet Amare Tedla, Worku Tefera, Teketo Kassaw Tegegne, Dejen Yemane Tekle, Girma Temam Shifa, Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi, Gizachew Assefa Tessema, J S Thakur, Alan J Thomson, Andrew L Thorne-Lyman, Amanda G Thrift, George D Thurston, Taavi Tillmann, Ruoyan Tobe-Gai, Marcello Tonelli, Roman Topor-Madry, Fotis Topouzis, Bach Xuan Tran, Thomas Truelsen, Zacharie Tsala Dimbuene, Abera Kenay Tura, Emin Murat Tuzcu, Stefanos Tyrovolas, Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja, Eduardo A Undurraga, Chigozie Jesse Uneke, Olalekan A Uthman, Aaron van Donkelaar, Yuri Y Varakin, Tommi Vasankari, Ana Maria Nogales Vasconcelos, J Lennert Veerman, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Raj Kumar Verma, Francesco S Violante, Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov, Patricia Volkow, Stein Emil Vollset, Gregory R Wagner, Mitchell T Wallin, Linhong Wang, Valentine Wanga, David A Watkins, Scott Weichenthal, Elisabete Weiderpass, Robert G Weintraub, Daniel J Weiss, Andrea Werdecker, Ronny Westerman, Harvey A Whiteford, James D Wilkinson, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Charles D A Wolfe, Ingrid Wolfe, Sungho Won, Anthony D Woolf, Shimelash Bitew Workie, Mamo Wubshet, Gelin Xu, Ajit Kumar Yadav, Bereket Yakob, Ayalnesh Zemene Yalew, Lijing L Yan, Yuichiro Yano, Mehdi Yaseri, Pengpeng Ye, Paul Yip, Naohiro Yonemoto, Seok-Jun Yoon, Mustafa Z Younis, Chuanhua Yu, Zoubida Zaidi, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio, Tomas Zapata, Elias Asfaw Zegeye, Yi Zhao, Maigeng Zhou, Sanjay Zodpey, David Zonies, Christopher J L Murray

The Lancet, Volume: 388, Issue: 10053, Pages: 1813 - 1850

Swansea University Authors: Belinda Gabbe Orcid Logo, Andrew Kemp Orcid Logo

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Abstract

BackgroundIn September, 2015, the UN General Assembly established the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The SDGs specify 17 universal goals, 169 targets, and 230 indicators leading up to 2030. We provide an analysis of 33 health-related SDG indicators based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Inju...

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Published in: The Lancet
ISSN: 01406736
Published: 2016
Online Access: Check full text

URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa34417
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fullrecord <?xml version="1.0"?><rfc1807><datestamp>2022-12-05T13:06:02.3706635</datestamp><bib-version>v2</bib-version><id>34417</id><entry>2017-06-21</entry><title>Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015</title><swanseaauthors><author><sid>4bdcc94332b2bd10530c5e71ceb04f14</sid><ORCID>0000-0001-7096-7688</ORCID><firstname>Belinda</firstname><surname>Gabbe</surname><name>Belinda Gabbe</name><active>true</active><ethesisStudent>false</ethesisStudent></author><author><sid>dfd05900f0e2409d3f67dca227c59a93</sid><ORCID>0000-0003-1146-3791</ORCID><firstname>Andrew</firstname><surname>Kemp</surname><name>Andrew Kemp</name><active>true</active><ethesisStudent>false</ethesisStudent></author></swanseaauthors><date>2017-06-21</date><deptcode>FGMHL</deptcode><abstract>BackgroundIn September, 2015, the UN General Assembly established the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The SDGs specify 17 universal goals, 169 targets, and 230 indicators leading up to 2030. We provide an analysis of 33 health-related SDG indicators based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015).MethodsWe applied statistical methods to systematically compiled data to estimate the performance of 33 health-related SDG indicators for 188 countries from 1990 to 2015. We rescaled each indicator on a scale from 0 (worst observed value between 1990 and 2015) to 100 (best observed). Indices representing all 33 health-related SDG indicators (health-related SDG index), health-related SDG indicators included in the Millennium Development Goals (MDG index), and health-related indicators not included in the MDGs (non-MDG index) were computed as the geometric mean of the rescaled indicators by SDG target. We used spline regressions to examine the relations between the Socio-demographic Index (SDI, a summary measure based on average income per person, educational attainment, and total fertility rate) and each of the health-related SDG indicators and indices.FindingsIn 2015, the median health-related SDG index was 59&#xB7;3 (95% uncertainty interval 56&#xB7;8&#x2013;61&#xB7;8) and varied widely by country, ranging from 85&#xB7;5 (84&#xB7;2&#x2013;86&#xB7;5) in Iceland to 20&#xB7;4 (15&#xB7;4&#x2013;24&#xB7;9) in Central African Republic. SDI was a good predictor of the health-related SDG index (r2=0&#xB7;88) and the MDG index (r2=0&#xB7;92), whereas the non-MDG index had a weaker relation with SDI (r2=0&#xB7;79). Between 2000 and 2015, the health-related SDG index improved by a median of 7&#xB7;9 (IQR 5&#xB7;0&#x2013;10&#xB7;4), and gains on the MDG index (a median change of 10&#xB7;0 [6&#xB7;7&#x2013;13&#xB7;1]) exceeded that of the non-MDG index (a median change of 5&#xB7;5 [2&#xB7;1&#x2013;8&#xB7;9]). Since 2000, pronounced progress occurred for indicators such as met need with modern contraception, under-5 mortality, and neonatal mortality, as well as the indicator for universal health coverage tracer interventions. Moderate improvements were found for indicators such as HIV and tuberculosis incidence, minimal changes for hepatitis B incidence took place, and childhood overweight considerably worsened.InterpretationGBD provides an independent, comparable avenue for monitoring progress towards the health-related SDGs. Our analysis not only highlights the importance of income, education, and fertility as drivers of health improvement but also emphasises that investments in these areas alone will not be sufficient. Although considerable progress on the health-related MDG indicators has been made, these gains will need to be sustained and, in many cases, accelerated to achieve the ambitious SDG targets. The minimal improvement in or worsening of health-related indicators beyond the MDGs highlight the need for additional resources to effectively address the expanded scope of the health-related SDGs.</abstract><type>Journal Article</type><journal>The Lancet</journal><volume>388</volume><journalNumber>10053</journalNumber><paginationStart>1813</paginationStart><paginationEnd>1850</paginationEnd><publisher/><placeOfPublication/><isbnPrint/><isbnElectronic/><issnPrint>01406736</issnPrint><issnElectronic/><keywords/><publishedDay>8</publishedDay><publishedMonth>10</publishedMonth><publishedYear>2016</publishedYear><publishedDate>2016-10-08</publishedDate><doi>10.1016/S0140-6736(16)31467-2</doi><url/><notes/><college>COLLEGE NANME</college><department>Medicine, Health and Life Science - Faculty</department><CollegeCode>COLLEGE CODE</CollegeCode><DepartmentCode>FGMHL</DepartmentCode><institution>Swansea University</institution><apcterm/><funders/><projectreference/><lastEdited>2022-12-05T13:06:02.3706635</lastEdited><Created>2017-06-21T13:13:17.4336832</Created><path><level id="1">Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences</level><level id="2">School of Psychology</level></path><authors><author><firstname>Stephen S</firstname><surname>Lim</surname><order>1</order></author><author><firstname>Kate</firstname><surname>Allen</surname><order>2</order></author><author><firstname>Zulfiqar A</firstname><surname>Bhutta</surname><order>3</order></author><author><firstname>Lalit</firstname><surname>Dandona</surname><order>4</order></author><author><firstname>Mohammad H</firstname><surname>Forouzanfar</surname><order>5</order></author><author><firstname>Nancy</firstname><surname>Fullman</surname><order>6</order></author><author><firstname>Peter W</firstname><surname>Gething</surname><order>7</order></author><author><firstname>Ellen M</firstname><surname>Goldberg</surname><order>8</order></author><author><firstname>Simon I</firstname><surname>Hay</surname><order>9</order></author><author><firstname>Mollie</firstname><surname>Holmberg</surname><order>10</order></author><author><firstname>Yohannes</firstname><surname>Kinfu</surname><order>11</order></author><author><firstname>Michael J</firstname><surname>Kutz</surname><order>12</order></author><author><firstname>Heidi J</firstname><surname>Larson</surname><order>13</order></author><author><firstname>Xiaofeng</firstname><surname>Liang</surname><order>14</order></author><author><firstname>Alan D</firstname><surname>Lopez</surname><order>15</order></author><author><firstname>Rafael</firstname><surname>Lozano</surname><order>16</order></author><author><firstname>Claire R</firstname><surname>McNellan</surname><order>17</order></author><author><firstname>Ali H</firstname><surname>Mokdad</surname><order>18</order></author><author><firstname>Meghan D</firstname><surname>Mooney</surname><order>19</order></author><author><firstname>Mohsen</firstname><surname>Naghavi</surname><order>20</order></author><author><firstname>Helen E</firstname><surname>Olsen</surname><order>21</order></author><author><firstname>David M</firstname><surname>Pigott</surname><order>22</order></author><author><firstname>Joshua A</firstname><surname>Salomon</surname><order>23</order></author><author><firstname>Theo</firstname><surname>Vos</surname><order>24</order></author><author><firstname>Haidong</firstname><surname>Wang</surname><order>25</order></author><author><firstname>Amanuel Alemu</firstname><surname>Abajobir</surname><order>26</order></author><author><firstname>Kalkidan Hassen</firstname><surname>Abate</surname><order>27</order></author><author><firstname>Cristiana</firstname><surname>Abbafati</surname><order>28</order></author><author><firstname>Kaja M</firstname><surname>Abbas</surname><order>29</order></author><author><firstname>Foad</firstname><surname>Abd-Allah</surname><order>30</order></author><author><firstname>Abdishakur M</firstname><surname>Abdulle</surname><order>31</order></author><author><firstname>Biju</firstname><surname>Abraham</surname><order>32</order></author><author><firstname>Ibrahim</firstname><surname>Abubakar</surname><order>33</order></author><author><firstname>Laith J</firstname><surname>Abu-Raddad</surname><order>34</order></author><author><firstname>Niveen M E</firstname><surname>Abu-Rmeileh</surname><order>35</order></author><author><firstname>Gebre Yitayih</firstname><surname>Abyu</surname><order>36</order></author><author><firstname>Tom</firstname><surname>Achoki</surname><order>37</order></author><author><firstname>Akindele Olupelumi</firstname><surname>Adebiyi</surname><order>38</order></author><author><firstname>Isaac Akinkunmi</firstname><surname>Adedeji</surname><order>39</order></author><author><firstname>Kossivi Agbelenko</firstname><surname>Afanvi</surname><order>40</order></author><author><firstname>Ashkan</firstname><surname>Afshin</surname><order>41</order></author><author><firstname>Arnav</firstname><surname>Agarwal</surname><order>42</order></author><author><firstname>Anurag</firstname><surname>Agrawal</surname><order>43</order></author><author><firstname>Aliasghar Ahmad</firstname><surname>Kiadaliri</surname><order>44</order></author><author><firstname>Hamid</firstname><surname>Ahmadieh</surname><order>45</order></author><author><firstname>Kedir Yimam</firstname><surname>Ahmed</surname><order>46</order></author><author><firstname>Ali Shafqat</firstname><surname>Akanda</surname><order>47</order></author><author><firstname>Rufus Olusola</firstname><surname>Akinyemi</surname><order>48</order></author><author><firstname>Tomi F</firstname><surname>Akinyemiju</surname><order>49</order></author><author><firstname>Nadia</firstname><surname>Akseer</surname><order>50</order></author><author><firstname>Ziyad</firstname><surname>Al-Aly</surname><order>51</order></author><author><firstname>Khurshid</firstname><surname>Alam</surname><order>52</order></author><author><firstname>Uzma</firstname><surname>Alam</surname><order>53</order></author><author><firstname>Deena</firstname><surname>Alasfoor</surname><order>54</order></author><author><firstname>Fadia S</firstname><surname>AlBuhairan</surname><order>55</order></author><author><firstname>Saleh Fahed</firstname><surname>Aldhahri</surname><order>56</order></author><author><firstname>Robert William</firstname><surname>Aldridge</surname><order>57</order></author><author><firstname>Zewdie Aderaw</firstname><surname>Alemu</surname><order>58</order></author><author><firstname>Raghib</firstname><surname>Ali</surname><order>59</order></author><author><firstname>Ala'a</firstname><surname>Alkerwi</surname><order>60</order></author><author><firstname>Mohammad AB</firstname><surname>Alkhateeb</surname><order>61</order></author><author><firstname>Fran&#xE7;ois</firstname><surname>Alla</surname><order>62</order></author><author><firstname>Peter</firstname><surname>Allebeck</surname><order>63</order></author><author><firstname>Christine</firstname><surname>Allen</surname><order>64</order></author><author><firstname>Rajaa</firstname><surname>Al-Raddadi</surname><order>65</order></author><author><firstname>Ubai</firstname><surname>Alsharif</surname><order>66</order></author><author><firstname>Khalid A</firstname><surname>Altirkawi</surname><order>67</order></author><author><firstname>Elena 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spelling 2022-12-05T13:06:02.3706635 v2 34417 2017-06-21 Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 4bdcc94332b2bd10530c5e71ceb04f14 0000-0001-7096-7688 Belinda Gabbe Belinda Gabbe true false dfd05900f0e2409d3f67dca227c59a93 0000-0003-1146-3791 Andrew Kemp Andrew Kemp true false 2017-06-21 FGMHL BackgroundIn September, 2015, the UN General Assembly established the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The SDGs specify 17 universal goals, 169 targets, and 230 indicators leading up to 2030. We provide an analysis of 33 health-related SDG indicators based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015).MethodsWe applied statistical methods to systematically compiled data to estimate the performance of 33 health-related SDG indicators for 188 countries from 1990 to 2015. We rescaled each indicator on a scale from 0 (worst observed value between 1990 and 2015) to 100 (best observed). Indices representing all 33 health-related SDG indicators (health-related SDG index), health-related SDG indicators included in the Millennium Development Goals (MDG index), and health-related indicators not included in the MDGs (non-MDG index) were computed as the geometric mean of the rescaled indicators by SDG target. We used spline regressions to examine the relations between the Socio-demographic Index (SDI, a summary measure based on average income per person, educational attainment, and total fertility rate) and each of the health-related SDG indicators and indices.FindingsIn 2015, the median health-related SDG index was 59·3 (95% uncertainty interval 56·8–61·8) and varied widely by country, ranging from 85·5 (84·2–86·5) in Iceland to 20·4 (15·4–24·9) in Central African Republic. SDI was a good predictor of the health-related SDG index (r2=0·88) and the MDG index (r2=0·92), whereas the non-MDG index had a weaker relation with SDI (r2=0·79). Between 2000 and 2015, the health-related SDG index improved by a median of 7·9 (IQR 5·0–10·4), and gains on the MDG index (a median change of 10·0 [6·7–13·1]) exceeded that of the non-MDG index (a median change of 5·5 [2·1–8·9]). Since 2000, pronounced progress occurred for indicators such as met need with modern contraception, under-5 mortality, and neonatal mortality, as well as the indicator for universal health coverage tracer interventions. Moderate improvements were found for indicators such as HIV and tuberculosis incidence, minimal changes for hepatitis B incidence took place, and childhood overweight considerably worsened.InterpretationGBD provides an independent, comparable avenue for monitoring progress towards the health-related SDGs. Our analysis not only highlights the importance of income, education, and fertility as drivers of health improvement but also emphasises that investments in these areas alone will not be sufficient. Although considerable progress on the health-related MDG indicators has been made, these gains will need to be sustained and, in many cases, accelerated to achieve the ambitious SDG targets. The minimal improvement in or worsening of health-related indicators beyond the MDGs highlight the need for additional resources to effectively address the expanded scope of the health-related SDGs. Journal Article The Lancet 388 10053 1813 1850 01406736 8 10 2016 2016-10-08 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)31467-2 COLLEGE NANME Medicine, Health and Life Science - Faculty COLLEGE CODE FGMHL Swansea University 2022-12-05T13:06:02.3706635 2017-06-21T13:13:17.4336832 Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences School of Psychology Stephen S Lim 1 Kate Allen 2 Zulfiqar A Bhutta 3 Lalit Dandona 4 Mohammad H Forouzanfar 5 Nancy Fullman 6 Peter W Gething 7 Ellen M Goldberg 8 Simon I Hay 9 Mollie Holmberg 10 Yohannes Kinfu 11 Michael J Kutz 12 Heidi J Larson 13 Xiaofeng Liang 14 Alan D Lopez 15 Rafael Lozano 16 Claire R McNellan 17 Ali H Mokdad 18 Meghan D Mooney 19 Mohsen Naghavi 20 Helen E Olsen 21 David M Pigott 22 Joshua A Salomon 23 Theo Vos 24 Haidong Wang 25 Amanuel Alemu Abajobir 26 Kalkidan Hassen Abate 27 Cristiana Abbafati 28 Kaja M Abbas 29 Foad Abd-Allah 30 Abdishakur M Abdulle 31 Biju Abraham 32 Ibrahim Abubakar 33 Laith J Abu-Raddad 34 Niveen M E Abu-Rmeileh 35 Gebre Yitayih Abyu 36 Tom Achoki 37 Akindele Olupelumi Adebiyi 38 Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji 39 Kossivi Agbelenko Afanvi 40 Ashkan Afshin 41 Arnav Agarwal 42 Anurag Agrawal 43 Aliasghar Ahmad Kiadaliri 44 Hamid Ahmadieh 45 Kedir Yimam Ahmed 46 Ali Shafqat Akanda 47 Rufus Olusola Akinyemi 48 Tomi F Akinyemiju 49 Nadia Akseer 50 Ziyad Al-Aly 51 Khurshid Alam 52 Uzma Alam 53 Deena Alasfoor 54 Fadia S AlBuhairan 55 Saleh Fahed Aldhahri 56 Robert William Aldridge 57 Zewdie Aderaw Alemu 58 Raghib Ali 59 Ala'a Alkerwi 60 Mohammad AB Alkhateeb 61 François Alla 62 Peter Allebeck 63 Christine Allen 64 Rajaa Al-Raddadi 65 Ubai Alsharif 66 Khalid A Altirkawi 67 Elena Alvarez Martin 68 Nelson Alvis-Guzman 69 Azmeraw T Amare 70 Alemayehu Amberbir 71 Adeladza Kofi Amegah 72 Heresh Amini 73 Walid Ammar 74 Stephen Marc Amrock 75 Hjalte H Andersen 76 Benjamin O Anderson 77 Gregory M Anderson 78 Carl Abelardo T Antonio 79 Palwasha Anwari 80 Johan Ärnlöv 81 Al Artaman 82 Hamid Asayesh 83 Rana Jawad Asghar 84 Suleman Atique 85 Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho 86 Ashish Awasthi 87 Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla 88 Peter Azzopardi 89 Umar Bacha 90 Alaa Badawi 91 Kalpana Balakrishnan 92 Amitava Banerjee 93 Aleksandra Barac 94 Ryan Barber 95 Suzanne L Barker-Collo 96 Till Bärnighausen 97 Lope H Barrero 98 Tonatiuh Barrientos-Gutierrez 99 Sanjay Basu 100 Tigist Assefa Bayou 101 Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi 102 Justin Beardsley 103 Neeraj Bedi 104 Ettore Beghi 105 Yannick Béjot 106 Michelle L Bell 107 Aminu K Bello 108 Derrick A Bennett 109 Isabela M Bensenor 110 Habib Benzian 111 Adugnaw Berhane 112 Eduardo Bernabé 113 Oscar Alberto Bernal 114 Balem Demtsu Betsu 115 Addisu Shunu Beyene 116 Neeraj Bhala 117 Samir Bhatt 118 Sibhatu Biadgilign 119 Kelly A Bienhoff 120 Boris Bikbov 121 Agnes Binagwaho 122 Donal Bisanzio 123 Espen Bjertness 124 Jed Blore 125 Rupert R A Bourne 126 Michael Brainin 127 Michael Brauer 128 Alexandra Brazinova 129 Nicholas J K Breitborde 130 David M Broday 131 Traolach S Brugha 132 Rachelle 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Kebede Deribe 180 Sarah Derrett 181 Don C Des Jarlais 182 Aniruddha Deshpande 183 Gabrielle A deVeber 184 Subhojit Dey 185 Samath D Dharmaratne 186 Preet K Dhillon 187 Eric L Ding 188 E Ray Dorsey 189 Kerrie E Doyle 190 Tim R Driscoll 191 Leilei Duan 192 Manisha Dubey 193 Bruce Bartholow Duncan 194 Hedyeh Ebrahimi 195 Aman Yesuf Endries 196 Sergey Petrovich Ermakov 197 Holly E Erskine 198 Babak Eshrati 199 Alireza Esteghamati 200 Saman Fahimi 201 Talha A Farid 202 Carla Sofia e Sa Farinha 203 André Faro 204 Maryam S Farvid 205 Farshad Farzadfar 206 Valery L Feigin 207 Manuela Mendonca Felicio 208 Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad 209 Jefferson G Fernandes 210 Joao C Fernandes 211 Alize J Ferrari 212 Florian Fischer 213 Joseph R A Fitchett 214 Christina Fitzmaurice 215 Nataliya Foigt 216 Kyle Foreman 217 F Gerry R Fowkes 218 Elisabeth Barboza Franca 219 Richard C Franklin 220 Maya Fraser 221 Joseph Friedman 222 Joseph Frostad 223 Thomas Fürst 224 Belinda Gabbe 0000-0001-7096-7688 225 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Ahmad Khan 320 Gulfaraz Khan 321 Young-Ho Khang 322 Tawfik Ahmed Muthafer Khoja 323 Ardeshir Khosravi 324 Jagdish Khubchandani 325 Christian Kieling 326 Cho-il Kim 327 Daniel Kim 328 Sungroul Kim 329 Yun Jin Kim 330 Ruth W Kimokoti 331 Niranjan Kissoon 332 Miia Kivipelto 333 Luke D Knibbs 334 Yoshihiro Kokubo 335 Dhaval Kolte 336 Soewarta Kosen 337 Georgios A Kotsakis 338 Parvaiz A Koul 339 Ai Koyanagi 340 Michael Kravchenko 341 Hans Krueger 342 Barthelemy Kuate Defo 343 Ricardo S Kuchenbecker 344 Ernst J Kuipers 345 Xie Rachel Kulikoff 346 Veena S Kulkarni 347 G Anil Kumar 348 Gene F Kwan 349 Hmwe H Kyu 350 Aparna Lal 351 Dharmesh Kumar Lal 352 Ratilal Lalloo 353 Hilton Lam 354 Qing Lan 355 Sinead M Langan 356 Anders Larsson 357 Dennis Odai Laryea 358 Asma Abdul Latif 359 Janet L Leasher 360 James Leigh 361 Mall Leinsalu 362 Janni Leung 363 Ricky Leung 364 Miriam Levi 365 Yichong Li 366 Yongmei Li 367 Margaret Lind 368 Shai Linn 369 Steven E Lipshultz 370 Patrick Y Liu 371 Shiwei Liu 372 Yang Liu 373 Belinda K Lloyd 374 Loon-Tzian Lo 375 Giancarlo Logroscino 376 Paulo A Lotufo 377 Robyn M Lucas 378 Raimundas Lunevicius 379 Mohammed Magdy Abd El Razek 380 Carlos Magis-Rodriguez 381 Mahdi Mahdavi 382 Marek Majdan 383 Azeem Majeed 384 Reza Malekzadeh 385 Deborah Carvalho Malta 386 Chabila C Mapoma 387 David Joel Margolis 388 Randall V Martin 389 Jose Martinez-Raga 390 Felix Masiye 391 Amanda J Mason-Jones 392 João Massano 393 Richard Matzopoulos 394 Bongani M Mayosi 395 John J McGrath 396 Martin McKee 397 Peter A Meaney 398 Alem Mehari 399 Alemayehu B Mekonnen 400 Yohannes Adama Melaku 401 Peter Memiah 402 Ziad A Memish 403 Walter Mendoza 404 Gert B M Mensink 405 Atte Meretoja 406 Tuomo J Meretoja 407 Yonatan Moges Mesfin 408 Francis Apolinary Mhimbira 409 Renata Micha 410 Ted R Miller 411 Edward J Mills 412 Mojde Mirarefin 413 Awoke Misganaw 414 Philip B Mitchell 415 Charles N Mock 416 Alireza Mohammadi 417 Shafiu Mohammed 418 Lorenzo Monasta 419 Jonathan de la Cruz Monis 420 Julio Cesar Montañez Hernandez 421 Marcella Montico 422 Maziar Moradi-Lakeh 423 Lidia Morawska 424 Rintaro Mori 425 Ulrich O Mueller 426 Michele E Murdoch 427 Brighton Murimira 428 Joseph Murray 429 Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana Murthy 430 Srinivas Murthy 431 Kamarul Imran Musa 432 Jean B Nachega 433 Gabriele Nagel 434 Kovin S Naidoo 435 Luigi Naldi 436 Vinay Nangia 437 Bruce Neal 438 Chakib Nejjari 439 Charles R Newton 440 John N Newton 441 Frida Namnyak Ngalesoni 442 Peter Nguhiu 443 Grant Nguyen 444 Quyen Le Nguyen 445 Muhammad Imran Nisar 446 Patrick Martial Nkamedjie Pete 447 Sandra Nolte 448 Marika Nomura 449 Ole F Norheim 450 Bo Norrving 451 Carla Makhlouf Obermeyer 452 Felix Akpojene Ogbo 453 In-Hwan Oh 454 Olanrewaju Oladimeji 455 Pedro R Olivares 456 Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya 457 Jacob Olusegun Olusanya 458 John Nelson Opio 459 Eyal Oren 460 Alberto Ortiz 461 Richard H Osborne 462 Erika Ota 463 Mayowa O Owolabi 464 Mahesh PA 465 Eun-Kee Park 466 Hye-Youn Park 467 Charles D Parry 468 Mahboubeh Parsaeian 469 Tejas Patel 470 Vikram Patel 471 Angel J Paternina Caicedo 472 Snehal T Patil 473 Scott B Patten 474 George C Patton 475 Deepak Paudel 476 João Mário Pedro 477 David M Pereira 478 Norberto Perico 479 Konrad Pesudovs 480 Max Petzold 481 Michael Robert Phillips 482 Frédéric B Piel 483 Julian David Pillay 484 Christine Pinho 485 Farhad Pishgar 486 Suzanne Polinder 487 Richie G Poulton 488 Farshad Pourmalek 489 Mostafa Qorbani 490 Rynaz H S Rabiee 491 Amir Radfar 492 Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar 493 Mahfuzar Rahman 494 Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman 495 Sajjad Ur Rahman 496 Rajesh Kumar Rai 497 Sasa Rajsic 498 Murugesan Raju 499 Usha Ram 500 Saleem M Rana 501 Chhabi Lal Ranabhat 502 Kavitha Ranganathan 503 Puja C Rao 504 Amany H Refaat 505 Marissa B Reitsma 506 Giuseppe Remuzzi 507 Serge Resnikoff 508 Antonio L Ribeiro 509 Maria Jesus Rios Blancas 510 Hirbo Shore Roba 511 Bayard Roberts 512 Alina Rodriguez 513 David Rojas-Rueda 514 Luca Ronfani 515 Gholamreza Roshandel 516 Gregory A Roth 517 Dietrich Rothenbacher 518 Ambuj Roy 519 Nobhojit Roy 520 Ben Benasco Sackey 521 Rajesh Sagar 522 Muhammad Muhammad Saleh 523 Juan R Sanabria 524 João Vasco Santos 525 Damian F Santomauro 526 Itamar S Santos 527 Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suarez 528 Benn Sartorius 529 Maheswar Satpathy 530 Miloje Savic 531 Monika Sawhney 532 Susan M Sawyer 533 Josef Schmidhuber 534 Maria Inês Schmidt 535 Ione J C Schneider 536 Aletta E Schutte 537 David C Schwebel 538 Soraya Seedat 539 Sadaf G Sepanlou 540 Edson E Servan-Mori 541 Katya Shackelford 542 Amira Shaheen 543 Masood Ali Shaikh 544 Teresa Shamah Levy 545 Rajesh Sharma 546 Jun She 547 Sara Sheikhbahaei 548 Jiabin Shen 549 Kevin N Sheth 550 Muki Shey 551 Peilin Shi 552 Kenji Shibuya 553 Mika Shigematsu 554 Min-Jeong Shin 555 Rahman Shiri 556 Kawkab Shishani 557 Ivy Shiue 558 Inga Dora Sigfusdottir 559 Naris Silpakit 560 Diego Augusto Santos Silva 561 Jonathan I Silverberg 562 Edgar P Simard 563 Shireen Sindi 564 Abhishek Singh 565 Gitanjali M Singh 566 Jasvinder A Singh 567 Om Prakash Singh 568 Prashant Kumar Singh 569 Vegard Skirbekk 570 Amber Sligar 571 Samir Soneji 572 Kjetil Søreide 573 Reed J D Sorensen 574 Joan B Soriano 575 Sergey Soshnikov 576 Luciano A Sposato 577 Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy 578 Hans-Christian Stahl 579 Jeffrey D Stanaway 580 Vasiliki Stathopoulou 581 Nadine Steckling 582 Nicholas Steel 583 Dan J Stein 584 Caitlyn Steiner 585 Heidi Stöckl 586 Saverio Stranges 587 Mark Strong 588 Jiandong Sun 589 Bruno F Sunguya 590 Patrick Sur 591 Soumya Swaminathan 592 Bryan L Sykes 593 Cassandra E I Szoeke 594 Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos 595 Karen M Tabb 596 Roberto Tchio Talongwa 597 Mohammed Rasoul Tarawneh 598 Mohammad Tavakkoli 599 Bineyam Taye 600 Hugh R Taylor 601 Bemnet Amare Tedla 602 Worku Tefera 603 Teketo Kassaw Tegegne 604 Dejen Yemane Tekle 605 Girma Temam Shifa 606 Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi 607 Gizachew Assefa Tessema 608 J S Thakur 609 Alan J Thomson 610 Andrew L Thorne-Lyman 611 Amanda G Thrift 612 George D Thurston 613 Taavi Tillmann 614 Ruoyan Tobe-Gai 615 Marcello Tonelli 616 Roman Topor-Madry 617 Fotis Topouzis 618 Bach Xuan Tran 619 Thomas Truelsen 620 Zacharie Tsala Dimbuene 621 Abera Kenay Tura 622 Emin Murat Tuzcu 623 Stefanos Tyrovolas 624 Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja 625 Eduardo A Undurraga 626 Chigozie Jesse Uneke 627 Olalekan A Uthman 628 Aaron van Donkelaar 629 Yuri Y Varakin 630 Tommi Vasankari 631 Ana Maria Nogales Vasconcelos 632 J Lennert Veerman 633 Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian 634 Raj Kumar Verma 635 Francesco S Violante 636 Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov 637 Patricia Volkow 638 Stein Emil Vollset 639 Gregory R Wagner 640 Mitchell T Wallin 641 Linhong Wang 642 Valentine Wanga 643 David A Watkins 644 Scott Weichenthal 645 Elisabete Weiderpass 646 Robert G Weintraub 647 Daniel J Weiss 648 Andrea Werdecker 649 Ronny Westerman 650 Harvey A Whiteford 651 James D Wilkinson 652 Charles Shey Wiysonge 653 Charles D A Wolfe 654 Ingrid Wolfe 655 Sungho Won 656 Anthony D Woolf 657 Shimelash Bitew Workie 658 Mamo Wubshet 659 Gelin Xu 660 Ajit Kumar Yadav 661 Bereket Yakob 662 Ayalnesh Zemene Yalew 663 Lijing L Yan 664 Yuichiro Yano 665 Mehdi Yaseri 666 Pengpeng Ye 667 Paul Yip 668 Naohiro Yonemoto 669 Seok-Jun Yoon 670 Mustafa Z Younis 671 Chuanhua Yu 672 Zoubida Zaidi 673 Maysaa El Sayed Zaki 674 Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio 675 Tomas Zapata 676 Elias Asfaw Zegeye 677 Yi Zhao 678 Maigeng Zhou 679 Sanjay Zodpey 680 David Zonies 681 Christopher J L Murray 682 0034417-28072017111549.pdf 34417.pdf 2017-07-28T11:15:49.5770000 Output 14950612 application/pdf Version of Record true 2016-10-08T00:00:00.0000000 Open Access funded by Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Under a Creative Commons license. true eng
title Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
spellingShingle Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
Belinda Gabbe
Andrew Kemp
title_short Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
title_full Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
title_fullStr Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
title_full_unstemmed Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
title_sort Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
author_id_str_mv 4bdcc94332b2bd10530c5e71ceb04f14
dfd05900f0e2409d3f67dca227c59a93
author_id_fullname_str_mv 4bdcc94332b2bd10530c5e71ceb04f14_***_Belinda Gabbe
dfd05900f0e2409d3f67dca227c59a93_***_Andrew Kemp
author Belinda Gabbe
Andrew Kemp
author2 Stephen S Lim
Kate Allen
Zulfiqar A Bhutta
Lalit Dandona
Mohammad H Forouzanfar
Nancy Fullman
Peter W Gething
Ellen M Goldberg
Simon I Hay
Mollie Holmberg
Yohannes Kinfu
Michael J Kutz
Heidi J Larson
Xiaofeng Liang
Alan D Lopez
Rafael Lozano
Claire R McNellan
Ali H Mokdad
Meghan D Mooney
Mohsen Naghavi
Helen E Olsen
David M Pigott
Joshua A Salomon
Theo Vos
Haidong Wang
Amanuel Alemu Abajobir
Kalkidan Hassen Abate
Cristiana Abbafati
Kaja M Abbas
Foad Abd-Allah
Abdishakur M Abdulle
Biju Abraham
Ibrahim Abubakar
Laith J Abu-Raddad
Niveen M E Abu-Rmeileh
Gebre Yitayih Abyu
Tom Achoki
Akindele Olupelumi Adebiyi
Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji
Kossivi Agbelenko Afanvi
Ashkan Afshin
Arnav Agarwal
Anurag Agrawal
Aliasghar Ahmad Kiadaliri
Hamid Ahmadieh
Kedir Yimam Ahmed
Ali Shafqat Akanda
Rufus Olusola Akinyemi
Tomi F Akinyemiju
Nadia Akseer
Ziyad Al-Aly
Khurshid Alam
Uzma Alam
Deena Alasfoor
Fadia S AlBuhairan
Saleh Fahed Aldhahri
Robert William Aldridge
Zewdie Aderaw Alemu
Raghib Ali
Ala'a Alkerwi
Mohammad AB Alkhateeb
François Alla
Peter Allebeck
Christine Allen
Rajaa Al-Raddadi
Ubai Alsharif
Khalid A Altirkawi
Elena Alvarez Martin
Nelson Alvis-Guzman
Azmeraw T Amare
Alemayehu Amberbir
Adeladza Kofi Amegah
Heresh Amini
Walid Ammar
Stephen Marc Amrock
Hjalte H Andersen
Benjamin O Anderson
Gregory M Anderson
Carl Abelardo T Antonio
Palwasha Anwari
Johan Ärnlöv
Al Artaman
Hamid Asayesh
Rana Jawad Asghar
Suleman Atique
Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho
Ashish Awasthi
Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla
Peter Azzopardi
Umar Bacha
Alaa Badawi
Kalpana Balakrishnan
Amitava Banerjee
Aleksandra Barac
Ryan Barber
Suzanne L Barker-Collo
Till Bärnighausen
Lope H Barrero
Tonatiuh Barrientos-Gutierrez
Sanjay Basu
Tigist Assefa Bayou
Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi
Justin Beardsley
Neeraj Bedi
Ettore Beghi
Yannick Béjot
Michelle L Bell
Aminu K Bello
Derrick A Bennett
Isabela M Bensenor
Habib Benzian
Adugnaw Berhane
Eduardo Bernabé
Oscar Alberto Bernal
Balem Demtsu Betsu
Addisu Shunu Beyene
Neeraj Bhala
Samir Bhatt
Sibhatu Biadgilign
Kelly A Bienhoff
Boris Bikbov
Agnes Binagwaho
Donal Bisanzio
Espen Bjertness
Jed Blore
Rupert R A Bourne
Michael Brainin
Michael Brauer
Alexandra Brazinova
Nicholas J K Breitborde
David M Broday
Traolach S Brugha
Rachelle Buchbinder
Zahid A Butt
Leah E Cahill
Ismael Ricardo Campos-Nonato
Julio Cesar Campuzano
Hélène Carabin
Rosario Cárdenas
Juan Jesus Carrero
Austin Carter
Daniel Casey
Valeria Caso
Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela
Jacqueline Castillo Rivas
Ferrán Catalá-López
Fiorella Cavalleri
Pedro Cecílio
Hsing-Yi Chang
Jung-Chen Chang
Fiona J Charlson
Xuan Che
Alan Zian Chen
Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang
Mirriam Chibalabala
Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa
Jee-Young Jasmine Choi
Rajiv Chowdhury
Hanne Christensen
Liliana G Ciobanu
Massimo Cirillo
Matthew M Coates
Megan Coggeshall
Aaron J Cohen
Graham S Cooke
Cyrus Cooper
Leslie Trumbull Cooper
Benjamin C Cowie
John A Crump
Solomon Abrha Damtew
Rakhi Dandona
Paul I Dargan
José das Neves
Adrian C Davis
Kairat Davletov
E Filipa de Castro
Diego De Leo
Louisa Degenhardt
Liana C Del Gobbo
Kebede Deribe
Sarah Derrett
Don C Des Jarlais
Aniruddha Deshpande
Gabrielle A deVeber
Subhojit Dey
Samath D Dharmaratne
Preet K Dhillon
Eric L Ding
E Ray Dorsey
Kerrie E Doyle
Tim R Driscoll
Leilei Duan
Manisha Dubey
Bruce Bartholow Duncan
Hedyeh Ebrahimi
Aman Yesuf Endries
Sergey Petrovich Ermakov
Holly E Erskine
Babak Eshrati
Alireza Esteghamati
Saman Fahimi
Talha A Farid
Carla Sofia e Sa Farinha
André Faro
Maryam S Farvid
Farshad Farzadfar
Valery L Feigin
Manuela Mendonca Felicio
Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad
Jefferson G Fernandes
Joao C Fernandes
Alize J Ferrari
Florian Fischer
Joseph R A Fitchett
Christina Fitzmaurice
Nataliya Foigt
Kyle Foreman
F Gerry R Fowkes
Elisabeth Barboza Franca
Richard C Franklin
Maya Fraser
Joseph Friedman
Joseph Frostad
Thomas Fürst
Belinda Gabbe
Alberto L Garcia-Basteiro
Teshome Gebre
Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot
Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin
Alemseged Aregay Gebru
Bradford D Gessner
Richard F Gillum
Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed Ginawi
Ababi Zergaw Giref
Maurice Giroud
Melkamu Dedefo Gishu
Giorgia Giussani
William Godwin
Philimon Gona
Amador Goodridge
Sameer Vali Gopalani
Carolyn C Gotay
Atsushi Goto
Hebe N Gouda
Nicholas Graetz
Karen Fern Greenwell
Max Griswold
Harish Gugnani
Yuming Guo
Rahul Gupta
Rajeev Gupta
Vipin Gupta
Reyna A Gutiérrez
Bishal Gyawali
Juanita A Haagsma
Annie Haakenstad
Nima Hafezi-Nejad
Demewoz Haile
Gessessew Bugssa Hailu
Yara A Halasa
Randah Ribhi Hamadeh
Samer Hamidi
Mouhanad Hammami
Graeme J Hankey
Hilda L Harb
Josep Maria Haro
Mohammad Sadegh Hassanvand
Rasmus Havmoeller
Ileana Beatriz Heredia-Pi
Hans W Hoek
Masako Horino
Nobuyuki Horita
H Dean Hosgood
Damian G Hoy
Aung Soe Htet
Guoqing Hu
Hsiang Huang
Kim Moesgaard Iburg
Bulat T Idrisov
Manami Inoue
Farhad Islami
Troy A Jacobs
Kathryn H Jacobsen
Nader Jahanmehr
Mihajlo B Jakovljevic
Peter James
Henrica A F M Jansen
Mehdi Javanbakht
Sudha P Jayaraman
Achala Upendra Jayatilleke
Sun Ha Jee
Panniyammakal Jeemon
Vivekanand Jha
Ying Jiang
Tariku Jibat
Ye Jin
Jost B Jonas
Zubair Kabir
Yogeshwar Kalkonde
Ritul Kamal
Haidong Kan
Amit Kandel
André Karch
Corine Kakizi Karema
Chante Karimkhani
Palitha Karunapema
Amir Kasaeian
Nicholas J Kassebaum
Anil Kaul
Norito Kawakami
Jeanne Françoise Kayibanda
Peter Njenga Keiyoro
Laura Kemmer
Andrew Kemp
Andre Pascal Kengne
Andre Keren
Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran
Yousef Saleh Khader
Abdur Rahman Khan
Ejaz Ahmad Khan
Gulfaraz Khan
Young-Ho Khang
Tawfik Ahmed Muthafer Khoja
Ardeshir Khosravi
Jagdish Khubchandani
Christian Kieling
Cho-il Kim
Daniel Kim
Sungroul Kim
Yun Jin Kim
Ruth W Kimokoti
Niranjan Kissoon
Miia Kivipelto
Luke D Knibbs
Yoshihiro Kokubo
Dhaval Kolte
Soewarta Kosen
Georgios A Kotsakis
Parvaiz A Koul
Ai Koyanagi
Michael Kravchenko
Hans Krueger
Barthelemy Kuate Defo
Ricardo S Kuchenbecker
Ernst J Kuipers
Xie Rachel Kulikoff
Veena S Kulkarni
G Anil Kumar
Gene F Kwan
Hmwe H Kyu
Aparna Lal
Dharmesh Kumar Lal
Ratilal Lalloo
Hilton Lam
Qing Lan
Sinead M Langan
Anders Larsson
Dennis Odai Laryea
Asma Abdul Latif
Janet L Leasher
James Leigh
Mall Leinsalu
Janni Leung
Ricky Leung
Miriam Levi
Yichong Li
Yongmei Li
Margaret Lind
Shai Linn
Steven E Lipshultz
Patrick Y Liu
Shiwei Liu
Yang Liu
Belinda K Lloyd
Loon-Tzian Lo
Giancarlo Logroscino
Paulo A Lotufo
Robyn M Lucas
Raimundas Lunevicius
Mohammed Magdy Abd El Razek
Carlos Magis-Rodriguez
Mahdi Mahdavi
Marek Majdan
Azeem Majeed
Reza Malekzadeh
Deborah Carvalho Malta
Chabila C Mapoma
David Joel Margolis
Randall V Martin
Jose Martinez-Raga
Felix Masiye
Amanda J Mason-Jones
João Massano
Richard Matzopoulos
Bongani M Mayosi
John J McGrath
Martin McKee
Peter A Meaney
Alem Mehari
Alemayehu B Mekonnen
Yohannes Adama Melaku
Peter Memiah
Ziad A Memish
Walter Mendoza
Gert B M Mensink
Atte Meretoja
Tuomo J Meretoja
Yonatan Moges Mesfin
Francis Apolinary Mhimbira
Renata Micha
Ted R Miller
Edward J Mills
Mojde Mirarefin
Awoke Misganaw
Philip B Mitchell
Charles N Mock
Alireza Mohammadi
Shafiu Mohammed
Lorenzo Monasta
Jonathan de la Cruz Monis
Julio Cesar Montañez Hernandez
Marcella Montico
Maziar Moradi-Lakeh
Lidia Morawska
Rintaro Mori
Ulrich O Mueller
Michele E Murdoch
Brighton Murimira
Joseph Murray
Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana Murthy
Srinivas Murthy
Kamarul Imran Musa
Jean B Nachega
Gabriele Nagel
Kovin S Naidoo
Luigi Naldi
Vinay Nangia
Bruce Neal
Chakib Nejjari
Charles R Newton
John N Newton
Frida Namnyak Ngalesoni
Peter Nguhiu
Grant Nguyen
Quyen Le Nguyen
Muhammad Imran Nisar
Patrick Martial Nkamedjie Pete
Sandra Nolte
Marika Nomura
Ole F Norheim
Bo Norrving
Carla Makhlouf Obermeyer
Felix Akpojene Ogbo
In-Hwan Oh
Olanrewaju Oladimeji
Pedro R Olivares
Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya
Jacob Olusegun Olusanya
John Nelson Opio
Eyal Oren
Alberto Ortiz
Richard H Osborne
Erika Ota
Mayowa O Owolabi
Mahesh PA
Eun-Kee Park
Hye-Youn Park
Charles D Parry
Mahboubeh Parsaeian
Tejas Patel
Vikram Patel
Angel J Paternina Caicedo
Snehal T Patil
Scott B Patten
George C Patton
Deepak Paudel
João Mário Pedro
David M Pereira
Norberto Perico
Konrad Pesudovs
Max Petzold
Michael Robert Phillips
Frédéric B Piel
Julian David Pillay
Christine Pinho
Farhad Pishgar
Suzanne Polinder
Richie G Poulton
Farshad Pourmalek
Mostafa Qorbani
Rynaz H S Rabiee
Amir Radfar
Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar
Mahfuzar Rahman
Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman
Sajjad Ur Rahman
Rajesh Kumar Rai
Sasa Rajsic
Murugesan Raju
Usha Ram
Saleem M Rana
Chhabi Lal Ranabhat
Kavitha Ranganathan
Puja C Rao
Amany H Refaat
Marissa B Reitsma
Giuseppe Remuzzi
Serge Resnikoff
Antonio L Ribeiro
Maria Jesus Rios Blancas
Hirbo Shore Roba
Bayard Roberts
Alina Rodriguez
David Rojas-Rueda
Luca Ronfani
Gholamreza Roshandel
Gregory A Roth
Dietrich Rothenbacher
Ambuj Roy
Nobhojit Roy
Ben Benasco Sackey
Rajesh Sagar
Muhammad Muhammad Saleh
Juan R Sanabria
João Vasco Santos
Damian F Santomauro
Itamar S Santos
Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suarez
Benn Sartorius
Maheswar Satpathy
Miloje Savic
Monika Sawhney
Susan M Sawyer
Josef Schmidhuber
Maria Inês Schmidt
Ione J C Schneider
Aletta E Schutte
David C Schwebel
Soraya Seedat
Sadaf G Sepanlou
Edson E Servan-Mori
Katya Shackelford
Amira Shaheen
Masood Ali Shaikh
Teresa Shamah Levy
Rajesh Sharma
Jun She
Sara Sheikhbahaei
Jiabin Shen
Kevin N Sheth
Muki Shey
Peilin Shi
Kenji Shibuya
Mika Shigematsu
Min-Jeong Shin
Rahman Shiri
Kawkab Shishani
Ivy Shiue
Inga Dora Sigfusdottir
Naris Silpakit
Diego Augusto Santos Silva
Jonathan I Silverberg
Edgar P Simard
Shireen Sindi
Abhishek Singh
Gitanjali M Singh
Jasvinder A Singh
Om Prakash Singh
Prashant Kumar Singh
Vegard Skirbekk
Amber Sligar
Samir Soneji
Kjetil Søreide
Reed J D Sorensen
Joan B Soriano
Sergey Soshnikov
Luciano A Sposato
Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy
Hans-Christian Stahl
Jeffrey D Stanaway
Vasiliki Stathopoulou
Nadine Steckling
Nicholas Steel
Dan J Stein
Caitlyn Steiner
Heidi Stöckl
Saverio Stranges
Mark Strong
Jiandong Sun
Bruno F Sunguya
Patrick Sur
Soumya Swaminathan
Bryan L Sykes
Cassandra E I Szoeke
Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos
Karen M Tabb
Roberto Tchio Talongwa
Mohammed Rasoul Tarawneh
Mohammad Tavakkoli
Bineyam Taye
Hugh R Taylor
Bemnet Amare Tedla
Worku Tefera
Teketo Kassaw Tegegne
Dejen Yemane Tekle
Girma Temam Shifa
Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi
Gizachew Assefa Tessema
J S Thakur
Alan J Thomson
Andrew L Thorne-Lyman
Amanda G Thrift
George D Thurston
Taavi Tillmann
Ruoyan Tobe-Gai
Marcello Tonelli
Roman Topor-Madry
Fotis Topouzis
Bach Xuan Tran
Thomas Truelsen
Zacharie Tsala Dimbuene
Abera Kenay Tura
Emin Murat Tuzcu
Stefanos Tyrovolas
Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja
Eduardo A Undurraga
Chigozie Jesse Uneke
Olalekan A Uthman
Aaron van Donkelaar
Yuri Y Varakin
Tommi Vasankari
Ana Maria Nogales Vasconcelos
J Lennert Veerman
Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian
Raj Kumar Verma
Francesco S Violante
Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov
Patricia Volkow
Stein Emil Vollset
Gregory R Wagner
Mitchell T Wallin
Linhong Wang
Valentine Wanga
David A Watkins
Scott Weichenthal
Elisabete Weiderpass
Robert G Weintraub
Daniel J Weiss
Andrea Werdecker
Ronny Westerman
Harvey A Whiteford
James D Wilkinson
Charles Shey Wiysonge
Charles D A Wolfe
Ingrid Wolfe
Sungho Won
Anthony D Woolf
Shimelash Bitew Workie
Mamo Wubshet
Gelin Xu
Ajit Kumar Yadav
Bereket Yakob
Ayalnesh Zemene Yalew
Lijing L Yan
Yuichiro Yano
Mehdi Yaseri
Pengpeng Ye
Paul Yip
Naohiro Yonemoto
Seok-Jun Yoon
Mustafa Z Younis
Chuanhua Yu
Zoubida Zaidi
Maysaa El Sayed Zaki
Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio
Tomas Zapata
Elias Asfaw Zegeye
Yi Zhao
Maigeng Zhou
Sanjay Zodpey
David Zonies
Christopher J L Murray
format Journal article
container_title The Lancet
container_volume 388
container_issue 10053
container_start_page 1813
publishDate 2016
institution Swansea University
issn 01406736
doi_str_mv 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)31467-2
college_str Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences
hierarchytype
hierarchy_top_id facultyofmedicinehealthandlifesciences
hierarchy_top_title Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences
hierarchy_parent_id facultyofmedicinehealthandlifesciences
hierarchy_parent_title Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences
department_str School of Psychology{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences{{{_:::_}}}School of Psychology
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description BackgroundIn September, 2015, the UN General Assembly established the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The SDGs specify 17 universal goals, 169 targets, and 230 indicators leading up to 2030. We provide an analysis of 33 health-related SDG indicators based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015).MethodsWe applied statistical methods to systematically compiled data to estimate the performance of 33 health-related SDG indicators for 188 countries from 1990 to 2015. We rescaled each indicator on a scale from 0 (worst observed value between 1990 and 2015) to 100 (best observed). Indices representing all 33 health-related SDG indicators (health-related SDG index), health-related SDG indicators included in the Millennium Development Goals (MDG index), and health-related indicators not included in the MDGs (non-MDG index) were computed as the geometric mean of the rescaled indicators by SDG target. We used spline regressions to examine the relations between the Socio-demographic Index (SDI, a summary measure based on average income per person, educational attainment, and total fertility rate) and each of the health-related SDG indicators and indices.FindingsIn 2015, the median health-related SDG index was 59·3 (95% uncertainty interval 56·8–61·8) and varied widely by country, ranging from 85·5 (84·2–86·5) in Iceland to 20·4 (15·4–24·9) in Central African Republic. SDI was a good predictor of the health-related SDG index (r2=0·88) and the MDG index (r2=0·92), whereas the non-MDG index had a weaker relation with SDI (r2=0·79). Between 2000 and 2015, the health-related SDG index improved by a median of 7·9 (IQR 5·0–10·4), and gains on the MDG index (a median change of 10·0 [6·7–13·1]) exceeded that of the non-MDG index (a median change of 5·5 [2·1–8·9]). Since 2000, pronounced progress occurred for indicators such as met need with modern contraception, under-5 mortality, and neonatal mortality, as well as the indicator for universal health coverage tracer interventions. Moderate improvements were found for indicators such as HIV and tuberculosis incidence, minimal changes for hepatitis B incidence took place, and childhood overweight considerably worsened.InterpretationGBD provides an independent, comparable avenue for monitoring progress towards the health-related SDGs. Our analysis not only highlights the importance of income, education, and fertility as drivers of health improvement but also emphasises that investments in these areas alone will not be sufficient. Although considerable progress on the health-related MDG indicators has been made, these gains will need to be sustained and, in many cases, accelerated to achieve the ambitious SDG targets. The minimal improvement in or worsening of health-related indicators beyond the MDGs highlight the need for additional resources to effectively address the expanded scope of the health-related SDGs.
published_date 2016-10-08T03:42:42Z
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score 11.03559