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MUFFLE: Multi-Modal Fake News Influence Estimator on Twitter

Cheng-Lin Wu, Hsun-Ping Hsieh, Jiawei Jiang, Yi-Chieh Yang, Chris Shei Orcid Logo, Yu-Wen Chen

Applied Sciences, Volume: 12, Issue: 1, Start page: 453

Swansea University Author: Chris Shei Orcid Logo

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DOI (Published version): 10.3390/app12010453

Abstract

To alleviate the impact of fake news on our society, predicting the popularity of fake news posts on social media is a crucial problem worthy of study. However, most related studies on fake news emphasize detection only. In this paper, we focus on the issue of fake news influence prediction, i.e., i...

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Published in: Applied Sciences
ISSN: 2076-3417
Published: MDPI AG 2022
Online Access: Check full text

URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa59136
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Abstract: To alleviate the impact of fake news on our society, predicting the popularity of fake news posts on social media is a crucial problem worthy of study. However, most related studies on fake news emphasize detection only. In this paper, we focus on the issue of fake news influence prediction, i.e., inferring how popular a fake news post might become on social platforms. To achieve our goal, we propose a comprehensive framework, MUFFLE, which captures multi-modal dynamics by encoding the representation of news-related social networks, user characteristics, and content in text. The attention mechanism developed in the model can provide explainability for social or psychological analysis. To examine the effectiveness of MUFFLE, we conducted extensive experiments on real-world datasets. The experimental results show that our proposed method outperforms both state-of-the-art methods of popularity prediction and machine-based baselines in top-k NDCG and hit rate. Through the experiments, we also analyze the feature importance for predicting fake news influence via the explainability provided by MUFFLE.
Keywords: fake news, influence estimator, multi-model, text mining
College: Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
Funders: This research was funded by the Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST) of Taiwan under grants MOST 109-2636-E-006-025 and MOST 110-2636-E-006-011
Issue: 1
Start Page: 453