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Do Improving Conditions Harden Partisan Preferences? Lived Experiences, Imagined Communities, and Polarized Evaluations

Jiyoun Suk Orcid Logo, Dhavan V Shah, Chris Wells, Michael W Wagner, Lewis A Friedland, Katherine J Cramer, Ceri Hughes, Charles Franklin

International Journal of Public Opinion Research, Volume: 32, Issue: 4, Pages: 750 - 768

Swansea University Author: Ceri Hughes

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DOI (Published version): 10.1093/ijpor/edz051

Abstract

Despite growing attention to an increasing partisan divide and populist voting, little attention has been directed at how social contexts might encourage greater or lesser political polarization. We address this gap by studying how county-level conditions—economic resilience, population change, and...

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Published in: International Journal of Public Opinion Research
ISSN: 0954-2892 1471-6909
Published: Oxford University Press (OUP) 2020
Online Access: Check full text

URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa60715
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first_indexed 2022-08-03T11:31:26Z
last_indexed 2023-01-13T19:21:03Z
id cronfa60715
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spelling 2022-08-26T14:45:09.2032056 v2 60715 2022-08-03 Do Improving Conditions Harden Partisan Preferences? Lived Experiences, Imagined Communities, and Polarized Evaluations ea8460af971fe3e3aceb250c199a0f14 Ceri Hughes Ceri Hughes true false 2022-08-03 AMED Despite growing attention to an increasing partisan divide and populist voting, little attention has been directed at how social contexts might encourage greater or lesser political polarization. We address this gap by studying how county-level conditions—economic resilience, population change, and community health—intersect with individuals’ political orientations and communication patterns to shape partisan evaluations. Our context is Wisconsin around the 2012 election, with our focus on two prominent political figures: Governor Scott Walker and President Barack Obama. Multilevel modeling reveals that partisans living in counties with more affluent, less precarious conditions during 2009–2012 exhibited more polarized partisan attitudes toward Walker and Obama. Our analysis also finds a significant role for interpersonal communication and digital media in shaping polarized attitudes. Journal Article International Journal of Public Opinion Research 32 4 750 768 Oxford University Press (OUP) 0954-2892 1471-6909 23 12 2020 2020-12-23 10.1093/ijpor/edz051 COLLEGE NANME Media COLLEGE CODE AMED Swansea University The work was supported by the Office of the Vice Chancellor for Research and Graduate Education at the University of Wisconsin-Madison with funding from the Wisconsin Alumni Research Foundation (UW2020 Program). 2022-08-26T14:45:09.2032056 2022-08-03T12:29:33.3422634 Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences School of Culture and Communication - Media, Communications, Journalism and PR Jiyoun Suk 0000-0003-4690-2395 1 Dhavan V Shah 2 Chris Wells 3 Michael W Wagner 4 Lewis A Friedland 5 Katherine J Cramer 6 Ceri Hughes 7 Charles Franklin 8
title Do Improving Conditions Harden Partisan Preferences? Lived Experiences, Imagined Communities, and Polarized Evaluations
spellingShingle Do Improving Conditions Harden Partisan Preferences? Lived Experiences, Imagined Communities, and Polarized Evaluations
Ceri Hughes
title_short Do Improving Conditions Harden Partisan Preferences? Lived Experiences, Imagined Communities, and Polarized Evaluations
title_full Do Improving Conditions Harden Partisan Preferences? Lived Experiences, Imagined Communities, and Polarized Evaluations
title_fullStr Do Improving Conditions Harden Partisan Preferences? Lived Experiences, Imagined Communities, and Polarized Evaluations
title_full_unstemmed Do Improving Conditions Harden Partisan Preferences? Lived Experiences, Imagined Communities, and Polarized Evaluations
title_sort Do Improving Conditions Harden Partisan Preferences? Lived Experiences, Imagined Communities, and Polarized Evaluations
author_id_str_mv ea8460af971fe3e3aceb250c199a0f14
author_id_fullname_str_mv ea8460af971fe3e3aceb250c199a0f14_***_Ceri Hughes
author Ceri Hughes
author2 Jiyoun Suk
Dhavan V Shah
Chris Wells
Michael W Wagner
Lewis A Friedland
Katherine J Cramer
Ceri Hughes
Charles Franklin
format Journal article
container_title International Journal of Public Opinion Research
container_volume 32
container_issue 4
container_start_page 750
publishDate 2020
institution Swansea University
issn 0954-2892
1471-6909
doi_str_mv 10.1093/ijpor/edz051
publisher Oxford University Press (OUP)
college_str Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
hierarchytype
hierarchy_top_id facultyofhumanitiesandsocialsciences
hierarchy_top_title Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
hierarchy_parent_id facultyofhumanitiesandsocialsciences
hierarchy_parent_title Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
department_str School of Culture and Communication - Media, Communications, Journalism and PR{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences{{{_:::_}}}School of Culture and Communication - Media, Communications, Journalism and PR
document_store_str 0
active_str 0
description Despite growing attention to an increasing partisan divide and populist voting, little attention has been directed at how social contexts might encourage greater or lesser political polarization. We address this gap by studying how county-level conditions—economic resilience, population change, and community health—intersect with individuals’ political orientations and communication patterns to shape partisan evaluations. Our context is Wisconsin around the 2012 election, with our focus on two prominent political figures: Governor Scott Walker and President Barack Obama. Multilevel modeling reveals that partisans living in counties with more affluent, less precarious conditions during 2009–2012 exhibited more polarized partisan attitudes toward Walker and Obama. Our analysis also finds a significant role for interpersonal communication and digital media in shaping polarized attitudes.
published_date 2020-12-23T04:19:03Z
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score 11.016235

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