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A ~700 years perspective on the 21st century drying in the eastern part of Europe based on δ18O in tree ring cellulose
Communications Earth and Environment, Volume: 3, Issue: 1
Swansea University Author: Danny McCarroll
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DOI (Published version): 10.1038/s43247-022-00605-4
Abstract
Numerical simulations indicate that extreme climate events (e.g., droughts, floods, heat waves) will increase in a warming world, putting enormous pressure on society and political decision-makers. To provide a long-term perspective on the variability of these extreme events, here we use a ~700 year...
Published in: | Communications Earth and Environment |
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ISSN: | 2662-4435 |
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Springer Science and Business Media LLC
2022
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URI: | https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa62008 |
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2022-12-15T13:06:01.5828742 v2 62008 2022-11-23 A ~700 years perspective on the 21st century drying in the eastern part of Europe based on δ18O in tree ring cellulose 6d181d926aaac8932c2bfa8d0e7f6960 Danny McCarroll Danny McCarroll true false 2022-11-23 FGSEN Numerical simulations indicate that extreme climate events (e.g., droughts, floods, heat waves) will increase in a warming world, putting enormous pressure on society and political decision-makers. To provide a long-term perspective on the variability of these extreme events, here we use a ~700 years tree-ring oxygen isotope chronology from Eastern Europe, in combination with paleo-reanalysis data, to show that the summer drying over Eastern Europe observed over the last ~150 years is to the best of our knowledge unprecedented over the last 700 years. This drying is driven by a change in the pressure patterns over Europe, characterized by a shift from zonal to a wavier flow around 1850CE, leading to extreme summer droughts and aridification. To our knowledge, this is the first and longest reconstruction of drought variability, based on stable oxygen isotopes in the tree-ring cellulose, for Eastern Europe, helping to fill a gap in the spatial coverage of paleoclimate reconstructions. Journal Article Communications Earth and Environment 3 1 Springer Science and Business Media LLC 2662-4435 15 11 2022 2022-11-15 10.1038/s43247-022-00605-4 COLLEGE NANME Science and Engineering - Faculty COLLEGE CODE FGSEN Swansea University Open Access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL. 2022-12-15T13:06:01.5828742 2022-11-23T08:45:13.4394822 Faculty of Science and Engineering School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography Viorica Nagavciuc 0000-0003-1111-9616 1 Monica Ionita 0000-0001-8240-4380 2 Zoltán Kern 0000-0003-4900-2587 3 Danny McCarroll 4 Ionel Popa 0000-0003-0069-0905 5 62008__25875__b41911ddc57348528276421a04e6bac0.pdf 62008.pdf 2022-11-23T08:52:15.5954368 Output 6026921 application/pdf Version of Record true This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License true eng http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
title |
A ~700 years perspective on the 21st century drying in the eastern part of Europe based on δ18O in tree ring cellulose |
spellingShingle |
A ~700 years perspective on the 21st century drying in the eastern part of Europe based on δ18O in tree ring cellulose Danny McCarroll |
title_short |
A ~700 years perspective on the 21st century drying in the eastern part of Europe based on δ18O in tree ring cellulose |
title_full |
A ~700 years perspective on the 21st century drying in the eastern part of Europe based on δ18O in tree ring cellulose |
title_fullStr |
A ~700 years perspective on the 21st century drying in the eastern part of Europe based on δ18O in tree ring cellulose |
title_full_unstemmed |
A ~700 years perspective on the 21st century drying in the eastern part of Europe based on δ18O in tree ring cellulose |
title_sort |
A ~700 years perspective on the 21st century drying in the eastern part of Europe based on δ18O in tree ring cellulose |
author_id_str_mv |
6d181d926aaac8932c2bfa8d0e7f6960 |
author_id_fullname_str_mv |
6d181d926aaac8932c2bfa8d0e7f6960_***_Danny McCarroll |
author |
Danny McCarroll |
author2 |
Viorica Nagavciuc Monica Ionita Zoltán Kern Danny McCarroll Ionel Popa |
format |
Journal article |
container_title |
Communications Earth and Environment |
container_volume |
3 |
container_issue |
1 |
publishDate |
2022 |
institution |
Swansea University |
issn |
2662-4435 |
doi_str_mv |
10.1038/s43247-022-00605-4 |
publisher |
Springer Science and Business Media LLC |
college_str |
Faculty of Science and Engineering |
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facultyofscienceandengineering |
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Faculty of Science and Engineering |
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facultyofscienceandengineering |
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Faculty of Science and Engineering |
department_str |
School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Science and Engineering{{{_:::_}}}School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography |
document_store_str |
1 |
active_str |
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description |
Numerical simulations indicate that extreme climate events (e.g., droughts, floods, heat waves) will increase in a warming world, putting enormous pressure on society and political decision-makers. To provide a long-term perspective on the variability of these extreme events, here we use a ~700 years tree-ring oxygen isotope chronology from Eastern Europe, in combination with paleo-reanalysis data, to show that the summer drying over Eastern Europe observed over the last ~150 years is to the best of our knowledge unprecedented over the last 700 years. This drying is driven by a change in the pressure patterns over Europe, characterized by a shift from zonal to a wavier flow around 1850CE, leading to extreme summer droughts and aridification. To our knowledge, this is the first and longest reconstruction of drought variability, based on stable oxygen isotopes in the tree-ring cellulose, for Eastern Europe, helping to fill a gap in the spatial coverage of paleoclimate reconstructions. |
published_date |
2022-11-15T04:21:17Z |
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1763754405912379392 |
score |
11.021648 |