Journal article 106 views
Examining the drivers of the imbalance price: Insights from the balancing mechanism in the United Kingdom
Journal of Environmental Management, Volume: 371, Start page: 123239
Swansea University Authors: Jinke Li , Nigel O'Leary , Jing Shao
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DOI (Published version): 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123239
Abstract
The increasing integration of renewable energy sources in the UK electricity sector has posed challenges to the stability of the system, leading to a sharp rise in the costs of balancing services. This study analyses half-hourly data from January 2017 to December 2023 to examine the factors determin...
Published in: | Journal of Environmental Management |
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ISSN: | 0301-4797 |
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Elsevier BV
2024
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URI: | https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa68151 |
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2024-11-07T10:08:12.1398090 v2 68151 2024-11-02 Examining the drivers of the imbalance price: Insights from the balancing mechanism in the United Kingdom 1d12dcf12aad73117a2a5f43cf233aae 0000-0001-6325-804X Jinke Li Jinke Li true false fb1a5569008b44e42a4c63a3f971bd29 0000-0002-5971-9306 Nigel O'Leary Nigel O'Leary true false 4957a0af8a9dd429738c64c124c3f8e8 0000-0003-0587-317X Jing Shao Jing Shao true false 2024-11-02 SOSS The increasing integration of renewable energy sources in the UK electricity sector has posed challenges to the stability of the system, leading to a sharp rise in the costs of balancing services. This study analyses half-hourly data from January 2017 to December 2023 to examine the factors determining the imbalance price in the UK's balancing mechanism, with particular focus on the sharp price increases in 2021–2022. Employing a Generalised Additive Model (GAM) to account for non-linear relationships, the analysis finds that the imbalance price is positively affected by the net imbalance volume (demand-side factor) and negatively impacted by the de-rated margin (supply-side factor). The wholesale electricity price, however, is identified as the dominant factor driving both the mean and volatility of the imbalance price during 2021–2022. These findings suggest that the balancing mechanism is functioning effectively and that a reduction in the wholesale price would lead to a lower imbalance price and thus lower costs of balancing services. Journal Article Journal of Environmental Management 371 123239 Elsevier BV 0301-4797 Balancing mechanism; Imbalance price; Net imbalance volume; De-rated margin; Wholesale electricity price 1 12 2024 2024-12-01 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123239 COLLEGE NANME Social Sciences School COLLEGE CODE SOSS Swansea University SU Library paid the OA fee (TA Institutional Deal) Swansea University 2024-11-07T10:08:12.1398090 2024-11-02T22:52:15.3286165 Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences School of Social Sciences - Economics Huanhuan Chen 1 Jinke Li 0000-0001-6325-804X 2 Nigel O'Leary 0000-0002-5971-9306 3 Jing Shao 0000-0003-0587-317X 4 68151__32868__e70909d7886946a08ac1e7d49a11cdd6.pdf 68151.VoR.pdf 2024-11-07T10:06:23.7490872 Output 4687026 application/pdf Version of Record true © 2024 The Authors. This is an open access article under the CC BY license. true eng http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
title |
Examining the drivers of the imbalance price: Insights from the balancing mechanism in the United Kingdom |
spellingShingle |
Examining the drivers of the imbalance price: Insights from the balancing mechanism in the United Kingdom Jinke Li Nigel O'Leary Jing Shao |
title_short |
Examining the drivers of the imbalance price: Insights from the balancing mechanism in the United Kingdom |
title_full |
Examining the drivers of the imbalance price: Insights from the balancing mechanism in the United Kingdom |
title_fullStr |
Examining the drivers of the imbalance price: Insights from the balancing mechanism in the United Kingdom |
title_full_unstemmed |
Examining the drivers of the imbalance price: Insights from the balancing mechanism in the United Kingdom |
title_sort |
Examining the drivers of the imbalance price: Insights from the balancing mechanism in the United Kingdom |
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1d12dcf12aad73117a2a5f43cf233aae fb1a5569008b44e42a4c63a3f971bd29 4957a0af8a9dd429738c64c124c3f8e8 |
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1d12dcf12aad73117a2a5f43cf233aae_***_Jinke Li fb1a5569008b44e42a4c63a3f971bd29_***_Nigel O'Leary 4957a0af8a9dd429738c64c124c3f8e8_***_Jing Shao |
author |
Jinke Li Nigel O'Leary Jing Shao |
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Huanhuan Chen Jinke Li Nigel O'Leary Jing Shao |
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Journal of Environmental Management |
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description |
The increasing integration of renewable energy sources in the UK electricity sector has posed challenges to the stability of the system, leading to a sharp rise in the costs of balancing services. This study analyses half-hourly data from January 2017 to December 2023 to examine the factors determining the imbalance price in the UK's balancing mechanism, with particular focus on the sharp price increases in 2021–2022. Employing a Generalised Additive Model (GAM) to account for non-linear relationships, the analysis finds that the imbalance price is positively affected by the net imbalance volume (demand-side factor) and negatively impacted by the de-rated margin (supply-side factor). The wholesale electricity price, however, is identified as the dominant factor driving both the mean and volatility of the imbalance price during 2021–2022. These findings suggest that the balancing mechanism is functioning effectively and that a reduction in the wholesale price would lead to a lower imbalance price and thus lower costs of balancing services. |
published_date |
2024-12-01T14:44:28Z |
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