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A flammability phenology for dry mixed heaths and its implications for modelling fire behaviour

Claire M. Belcher Orcid Logo, Rayanne Vitali, Tadas Nikonovas, Kerryn Little Orcid Logo, Andrew Elliott, Sarah J. Baker, Alastair J. Crawford Orcid Logo, Stefan Doerr Orcid Logo, Nicholas Kettridge Orcid Logo, Gareth D. Clay

International Journal of Wildland Fire, Volume: 34, Issue: 8, Start page: WF24123

Swansea University Authors: Tadas Nikonovas, Stefan Doerr Orcid Logo

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DOI (Published version): 10.1071/wf24123

Abstract

Background. Fires in temperate dry heaths burn dead and live fuels and are increasing in frequency. Models that describe these fuels and their contribution to fire behaviour is becoming of greater importance. Aims. We sought to identify variations in fuel moisture and flammability in dry heath fuel...

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Published in: International Journal of Wildland Fire
ISSN: 1049-8001 1448-5516
Published: CSIRO Publishing 2025
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URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa70819
Abstract: Background. Fires in temperate dry heaths burn dead and live fuels and are increasing in frequency. Models that describe these fuels and their contribution to fire behaviour is becoming of greater importance. Aims. We sought to identify variations in fuel moisture and flammability in dry heath fuel types throughout the year and assess the strength of phenological shifts to influence predicted fire behaviour. Methods. Six plant species from three dry heaths in the United Kingdom (UK) were collected throughout the year, their moisture content and effective heat of combustion measured. Data were used to parameterise a dynamic fuel model and undertake a sensitivity analysis using BehavePlus. Key results. Phenological changes in live fuel moisture had the greatest effect on predicted fire behaviour where variations between late winter–early spring and late spring–summer, led to a four-fold difference in fire rate of spread. Dead fuel moisture had an effect in the summer months but was dampened significantly by phenologically high live fuel moisture content. Conclusions. Phenological drivers of live fuel moisture in temperate shrubland fuels must be included in models that predict fire behaviour. Implications. Using the data presented, models such as BehavePlus can be adapted to include this variability to predict fire behaviour in temperate heathland ecosystems.
Keywords: fire behaviour, fire ecology, flammability, fuel moisture, heathlands, heat content, heat of combustion, shrub fuels
College: Faculty of Science and Engineering
Funders: This work has been funded by NERC grant NE/T003553/1 ‘Towards a UK Fire Danger Rating System’.
Issue: 8
Start Page: WF24123