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Global shocks and the debt‐growth nexus

Fabrizio Casalin, Giorgio Fazio, Jacoub Sleibi Orcid Logo

Economic Inquiry, Pages: 1 - 20

Swansea University Author: Jacoub Sleibi Orcid Logo

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DOI (Published version): 10.1111/ecin.70045

Abstract

This paper re-examines the relationship between debt and growth with and without the influence of global shocks for a panel of 22 economies. The analysis introduces an approach that accounts for the complexity of global factors and estimates the debt-to-growth and growth-to-debt nexus for household,...

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Published in: Economic Inquiry
ISSN: 0095-2583 1465-7295
Published: Wiley 2026
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URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa71373
Abstract: This paper re-examines the relationship between debt and growth with and without the influence of global shocks for a panel of 22 economies. The analysis introduces an approach that accounts for the complexity of global factors and estimates the debt-to-growth and growth-to-debt nexus for household, corporate, and public debt from a purely idiosyncratic perspective. The results reveal a multifactor structure: global shocks drive variation in household and public debt, whereas corporate debt exhibits predominantly idiosyncratic dynamics. These global shocks alter the magnitude and statistical significance of the idiosyncratic debt-growth nexus, demonstrating their critical role in identifying the underlying relationship.
Keywords: debt, growth, Cross‐Sectional Dependence, common factors
College: Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
Start Page: 1
End Page: 20