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Decision Making and the National Intelligence Model: No Accounting for Decision Bias

Phil Palmer, Maria Pournara Orcid Logo, Isaac Espinosa Delgado, Harry Palmer

Australasian Policing A Journal of Professional Practice and Research, Pages: 3 - 7

Swansea University Author: Maria Pournara Orcid Logo

Abstract

This paper discusses the role of decision making within the context of the Intelligence Led Policing (ILP) and suggests that reliance on this model may lead to some profound abstractions because ‘knowledge’ based on intelligence can be partial or incomplete and should not necessarily become the sole...

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Published in: Australasian Policing A Journal of Professional Practice and Research
Published: 2014
URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa52410
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Abstract: This paper discusses the role of decision making within the context of the Intelligence Led Policing (ILP) and suggests that reliance on this model may lead to some profound abstractions because ‘knowledge’ based on intelligence can be partial or incomplete and should not necessarily become the sole basis for constructing a strategic or tactical response to solving (at least in the long term) a crime problem. We suggest that ILP suffers from a system reliance bias where practitioners use a subsystem of intuitive mental routines to cope with the complexity inherent in their decisions. Our overall goal is to suggest the possibility that errors can occur in ILP based decision making and to encourage research that helps to understand how these errors may typically be made and to take corrective action to avoid them.
Keywords: intelligence-led policing; decision-making; NIM; heuristics
College: Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
Start Page: 3
End Page: 7