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Decision Making and the National Intelligence Model: No Accounting for Decision Bias

Phil Palmer, Maria Pournara Orcid Logo, Isaac Espinosa Delgado, Harry Palmer

Australasian Policing A Journal of Professional Practice and Research, Pages: 3 - 7

Swansea University Author: Maria Pournara Orcid Logo

Abstract

This paper discusses the role of decision making within the context of the Intelligence Led Policing (ILP) and suggests that reliance on this model may lead to some profound abstractions because ‘knowledge’ based on intelligence can be partial or incomplete and should not necessarily become the sole...

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Published in: Australasian Policing A Journal of Professional Practice and Research
Published: 2014
URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa52410
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first_indexed 2019-10-11T20:23:00Z
last_indexed 2020-12-15T04:14:11Z
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spelling 2020-12-14T12:14:15.9710007 v2 52410 2019-10-11 Decision Making and the National Intelligence Model: No Accounting for Decision Bias 2dbbdb83f033617cd588a975ac948905 0000-0001-9667-1826 Maria Pournara Maria Pournara true false 2019-10-11 CSSP This paper discusses the role of decision making within the context of the Intelligence Led Policing (ILP) and suggests that reliance on this model may lead to some profound abstractions because ‘knowledge’ based on intelligence can be partial or incomplete and should not necessarily become the sole basis for constructing a strategic or tactical response to solving (at least in the long term) a crime problem. We suggest that ILP suffers from a system reliance bias where practitioners use a subsystem of intuitive mental routines to cope with the complexity inherent in their decisions. Our overall goal is to suggest the possibility that errors can occur in ILP based decision making and to encourage research that helps to understand how these errors may typically be made and to take corrective action to avoid them. Journal Article Australasian Policing A Journal of Professional Practice and Research 3 7 intelligence-led policing; decision-making; NIM; heuristics 10 8 2014 2014-08-10 COLLEGE NANME Criminology, Sociology and Social Policy COLLEGE CODE CSSP Swansea University 2020-12-14T12:14:15.9710007 2019-10-11T15:09:50.4129359 Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences School of Social Sciences - Criminology, Sociology and Social Policy Phil Palmer 1 Maria Pournara 0000-0001-9667-1826 2 Isaac Espinosa Delgado 3 Harry Palmer 4
title Decision Making and the National Intelligence Model: No Accounting for Decision Bias
spellingShingle Decision Making and the National Intelligence Model: No Accounting for Decision Bias
Maria Pournara
title_short Decision Making and the National Intelligence Model: No Accounting for Decision Bias
title_full Decision Making and the National Intelligence Model: No Accounting for Decision Bias
title_fullStr Decision Making and the National Intelligence Model: No Accounting for Decision Bias
title_full_unstemmed Decision Making and the National Intelligence Model: No Accounting for Decision Bias
title_sort Decision Making and the National Intelligence Model: No Accounting for Decision Bias
author_id_str_mv 2dbbdb83f033617cd588a975ac948905
author_id_fullname_str_mv 2dbbdb83f033617cd588a975ac948905_***_Maria Pournara
author Maria Pournara
author2 Phil Palmer
Maria Pournara
Isaac Espinosa Delgado
Harry Palmer
format Journal article
container_title Australasian Policing A Journal of Professional Practice and Research
container_start_page 3
publishDate 2014
institution Swansea University
college_str Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
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hierarchy_top_id facultyofhumanitiesandsocialsciences
hierarchy_top_title Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
hierarchy_parent_id facultyofhumanitiesandsocialsciences
hierarchy_parent_title Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
department_str School of Social Sciences - Criminology, Sociology and Social Policy{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences{{{_:::_}}}School of Social Sciences - Criminology, Sociology and Social Policy
document_store_str 0
active_str 0
description This paper discusses the role of decision making within the context of the Intelligence Led Policing (ILP) and suggests that reliance on this model may lead to some profound abstractions because ‘knowledge’ based on intelligence can be partial or incomplete and should not necessarily become the sole basis for constructing a strategic or tactical response to solving (at least in the long term) a crime problem. We suggest that ILP suffers from a system reliance bias where practitioners use a subsystem of intuitive mental routines to cope with the complexity inherent in their decisions. Our overall goal is to suggest the possibility that errors can occur in ILP based decision making and to encourage research that helps to understand how these errors may typically be made and to take corrective action to avoid them.
published_date 2014-08-10T04:04:45Z
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score 11.012678

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