Journal article 1050 views 132 downloads
European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE
Environmental Research Letters, Volume: 14, Issue: 8, Start page: 084015
Swansea University Author: Mary Gagen
-
PDF | Version of Record
Released under the terms of a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 licence (CC-BY).
Download (4.8MB)
DOI (Published version): 10.1088/1748-9326/ab2c7e
Abstract
The long-term relationship between temperature and rainfall variables (hydroclimate) remains uncertain due to the short length of instrumental measurements and inconsistent results from climate model simulations. This lack of understanding is critical with regard to projecting future drought and flo...
Published in: | Environmental Research Letters |
---|---|
ISSN: | 1748-9326 |
Published: |
IOP Publishing
2019
|
Online Access: |
Check full text
|
URI: | https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa50763 |
Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
first_indexed |
2019-06-17T20:52:15Z |
---|---|
last_indexed |
2020-10-20T03:01:15Z |
id |
cronfa50763 |
recordtype |
SURis |
fullrecord |
<?xml version="1.0"?><rfc1807><datestamp>2020-10-19T19:07:17.4874123</datestamp><bib-version>v2</bib-version><id>50763</id><entry>2019-06-07</entry><title>European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE</title><swanseaauthors><author><sid>e677a6d0777aed90ac1eca8937e43d2b</sid><ORCID>0000-0002-6820-6457</ORCID><firstname>Mary</firstname><surname>Gagen</surname><name>Mary Gagen</name><active>true</active><ethesisStudent>false</ethesisStudent></author></swanseaauthors><date>2019-06-07</date><deptcode>SGE</deptcode><abstract>The long-term relationship between temperature and rainfall variables (hydroclimate) remains uncertain due to the short length of instrumental measurements and inconsistent results from climate model simulations. This lack of understanding is critical with regard to projecting future drought and flood risks. Here we assess northern Hemisphere summertime co-variability patterns between temperature and rainfall, over Europe back to 850 CE using instrumental measurements, tree-ring reconstructions, and climate model simulations. We find the temperature–hydroclimate relationship, in both the instrumental and proxt data to be more positive at lower frequencies, but less so in model simulations. In comp[arison to instrumental climate data, climate model simulations reveal a more negative co-variability between temperature and hydroclimate, across all timescales both lower and higher frequency. The reconstructions exhibit more positive co-variability. Despite observed differences in the temperature–hydroclimate co-variability patterns in instrumental, reconstructed and model simulated data, all data types share similar phase-relationships between temperature and hydroclimate, all of which indicate the common influence of external forcing of the climate system. The co-variability between temperature and soil moisture in the model simulations is overestimated, implying a possible overestimation of temperature-driven future drought risks.</abstract><type>Journal Article</type><journal>Environmental Research Letters</journal><volume>14</volume><journalNumber>8</journalNumber><paginationStart>084015</paginationStart><publisher>IOP Publishing</publisher><issnElectronic>1748-9326</issnElectronic><keywords>climate variability, hydroclimate, climate model simulations, tree-ring data, gridded climate reconstructions, Europe, past millennium</keywords><publishedDay>31</publishedDay><publishedMonth>12</publishedMonth><publishedYear>2019</publishedYear><publishedDate>2019-12-31</publishedDate><doi>10.1088/1748-9326/ab2c7e</doi><url/><notes/><college>COLLEGE NANME</college><department>Geography</department><CollegeCode>COLLEGE CODE</CollegeCode><DepartmentCode>SGE</DepartmentCode><institution>Swansea University</institution><apcterm/><lastEdited>2020-10-19T19:07:17.4874123</lastEdited><Created>2019-06-07T19:49:29.3105091</Created><path><level id="1">Faculty of Science and Engineering</level><level id="2">School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography</level></path><authors><author><firstname>Fredrik Charpentier</firstname><surname>Ljungqvist</surname><order>1</order></author><author><firstname>Andrea</firstname><surname>Seim</surname><order>2</order></author><author><firstname>Paul J</firstname><surname>Krusic</surname><order>3</order></author><author><firstname>Jesús Fidel</firstname><surname>González-Rouco</surname><order>4</order></author><author><firstname>Johannes P</firstname><surname>Werner</surname><order>5</order></author><author><firstname>Edward R</firstname><surname>Cook</surname><order>6</order></author><author><firstname>Eduardo</firstname><surname>Zorita</surname><order>7</order></author><author><firstname>Jürg</firstname><surname>Luterbacher</surname><order>8</order></author><author><firstname>Elena</firstname><surname>Xoplaki</surname><order>9</order></author><author><firstname>Georgia</firstname><surname>Destouni</surname><order>10</order></author><author><firstname>Elena</firstname><surname>García-Bustamante</surname><order>11</order></author><author><firstname>Camilo Andrés Melo</firstname><surname>Aguilar</surname><order>12</order></author><author><firstname>Kristina</firstname><surname>Seftigen</surname><order>13</order></author><author><firstname>Jianglin</firstname><surname>Wang</surname><order>14</order></author><author><firstname>Mary</firstname><surname>Gagen</surname><orcid>0000-0002-6820-6457</orcid><order>15</order></author><author><firstname>Jan</firstname><surname>Esper</surname><order>16</order></author><author><firstname>Olga</firstname><surname>Solomina</surname><order>17</order></author><author><firstname>Dominik</firstname><surname>Fleitmann</surname><order>18</order></author><author><firstname>Ulf</firstname><surname>Büntgen</surname><order>19</order></author></authors><documents><document><filename>0050763-13082019095555.pdf</filename><originalFilename>50763v2.pdf</originalFilename><uploaded>2019-08-13T09:55:55.8970000</uploaded><type>Output</type><contentLength>5165335</contentLength><contentType>application/pdf</contentType><version>Version of Record</version><cronfaStatus>true</cronfaStatus><embargoDate>2019-08-12T00:00:00.0000000</embargoDate><documentNotes>Released under the terms of a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 licence (CC-BY).</documentNotes><copyrightCorrect>true</copyrightCorrect><language>eng</language></document></documents><OutputDurs/></rfc1807> |
spelling |
2020-10-19T19:07:17.4874123 v2 50763 2019-06-07 European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE e677a6d0777aed90ac1eca8937e43d2b 0000-0002-6820-6457 Mary Gagen Mary Gagen true false 2019-06-07 SGE The long-term relationship between temperature and rainfall variables (hydroclimate) remains uncertain due to the short length of instrumental measurements and inconsistent results from climate model simulations. This lack of understanding is critical with regard to projecting future drought and flood risks. Here we assess northern Hemisphere summertime co-variability patterns between temperature and rainfall, over Europe back to 850 CE using instrumental measurements, tree-ring reconstructions, and climate model simulations. We find the temperature–hydroclimate relationship, in both the instrumental and proxt data to be more positive at lower frequencies, but less so in model simulations. In comp[arison to instrumental climate data, climate model simulations reveal a more negative co-variability between temperature and hydroclimate, across all timescales both lower and higher frequency. The reconstructions exhibit more positive co-variability. Despite observed differences in the temperature–hydroclimate co-variability patterns in instrumental, reconstructed and model simulated data, all data types share similar phase-relationships between temperature and hydroclimate, all of which indicate the common influence of external forcing of the climate system. The co-variability between temperature and soil moisture in the model simulations is overestimated, implying a possible overestimation of temperature-driven future drought risks. Journal Article Environmental Research Letters 14 8 084015 IOP Publishing 1748-9326 climate variability, hydroclimate, climate model simulations, tree-ring data, gridded climate reconstructions, Europe, past millennium 31 12 2019 2019-12-31 10.1088/1748-9326/ab2c7e COLLEGE NANME Geography COLLEGE CODE SGE Swansea University 2020-10-19T19:07:17.4874123 2019-06-07T19:49:29.3105091 Faculty of Science and Engineering School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist 1 Andrea Seim 2 Paul J Krusic 3 Jesús Fidel González-Rouco 4 Johannes P Werner 5 Edward R Cook 6 Eduardo Zorita 7 Jürg Luterbacher 8 Elena Xoplaki 9 Georgia Destouni 10 Elena García-Bustamante 11 Camilo Andrés Melo Aguilar 12 Kristina Seftigen 13 Jianglin Wang 14 Mary Gagen 0000-0002-6820-6457 15 Jan Esper 16 Olga Solomina 17 Dominik Fleitmann 18 Ulf Büntgen 19 0050763-13082019095555.pdf 50763v2.pdf 2019-08-13T09:55:55.8970000 Output 5165335 application/pdf Version of Record true 2019-08-12T00:00:00.0000000 Released under the terms of a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 licence (CC-BY). true eng |
title |
European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE |
spellingShingle |
European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE Mary Gagen |
title_short |
European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE |
title_full |
European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE |
title_fullStr |
European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE |
title_full_unstemmed |
European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE |
title_sort |
European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE |
author_id_str_mv |
e677a6d0777aed90ac1eca8937e43d2b |
author_id_fullname_str_mv |
e677a6d0777aed90ac1eca8937e43d2b_***_Mary Gagen |
author |
Mary Gagen |
author2 |
Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist Andrea Seim Paul J Krusic Jesús Fidel González-Rouco Johannes P Werner Edward R Cook Eduardo Zorita Jürg Luterbacher Elena Xoplaki Georgia Destouni Elena García-Bustamante Camilo Andrés Melo Aguilar Kristina Seftigen Jianglin Wang Mary Gagen Jan Esper Olga Solomina Dominik Fleitmann Ulf Büntgen |
format |
Journal article |
container_title |
Environmental Research Letters |
container_volume |
14 |
container_issue |
8 |
container_start_page |
084015 |
publishDate |
2019 |
institution |
Swansea University |
issn |
1748-9326 |
doi_str_mv |
10.1088/1748-9326/ab2c7e |
publisher |
IOP Publishing |
college_str |
Faculty of Science and Engineering |
hierarchytype |
|
hierarchy_top_id |
facultyofscienceandengineering |
hierarchy_top_title |
Faculty of Science and Engineering |
hierarchy_parent_id |
facultyofscienceandengineering |
hierarchy_parent_title |
Faculty of Science and Engineering |
department_str |
School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Science and Engineering{{{_:::_}}}School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography |
document_store_str |
1 |
active_str |
0 |
description |
The long-term relationship between temperature and rainfall variables (hydroclimate) remains uncertain due to the short length of instrumental measurements and inconsistent results from climate model simulations. This lack of understanding is critical with regard to projecting future drought and flood risks. Here we assess northern Hemisphere summertime co-variability patterns between temperature and rainfall, over Europe back to 850 CE using instrumental measurements, tree-ring reconstructions, and climate model simulations. We find the temperature–hydroclimate relationship, in both the instrumental and proxt data to be more positive at lower frequencies, but less so in model simulations. In comp[arison to instrumental climate data, climate model simulations reveal a more negative co-variability between temperature and hydroclimate, across all timescales both lower and higher frequency. The reconstructions exhibit more positive co-variability. Despite observed differences in the temperature–hydroclimate co-variability patterns in instrumental, reconstructed and model simulated data, all data types share similar phase-relationships between temperature and hydroclimate, all of which indicate the common influence of external forcing of the climate system. The co-variability between temperature and soil moisture in the model simulations is overestimated, implying a possible overestimation of temperature-driven future drought risks. |
published_date |
2019-12-31T04:02:22Z |
_version_ |
1763753216449708032 |
score |
11.035634 |